西气东输二线管材研发项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-08-04 16:37

【摘要】：国内能源结构调整的需要，使得未来很长一段时期对石油、天然气需求巨大，因此管道建设呈现高峰发展态势。科研事业单位承担着国家的重大、重点研发项目，这些研发项目在国家的经济发展中起到了重要的作用。TGRC是中石油的直属科研机构，在国家管道建设中承担技术研发的支撑作用。西气东输二线管材研发项目中由于不确定性越来越多，其存在的各类风险也越来越大，传统风险管理在项目管理中有着非常重要的地位，有效的项目风险管理可以提高项目的成功率，对重大研发项目其项目风险管理的研究就显得尤为重要。做好研发项目风险管理，减少研发项目过程中的各类不确定性因素，降低风险与其产生的不利影响，已越来越受到研发团队的高度关注。本论文在西气东输二线管材研发项目存在的背景之下，借鉴项目风险管理的相关理论知识，构建了管材研发项目风险管理模型。对西气东输二线管材研发项目存在的相关风险因素进行了充分识别，，构建了管材研发项目风险因素指标体系，并从定性和定量两个方面举例对其存在的风险进行了评估。针对风险评估的结果，提出了该研发项目的风险应对与防范措施以及后续的风险监控方法。使风险管理从风险识别、风险评估、风险防范与风险监控构成了一个闭环管理方式。为今后同类研发项目风险管理提供了一种简单、可借鉴的操作模式。
[Abstract]:The need of domestic energy structure adjustment makes the demand for oil and natural gas huge for a long period of time in the future, so pipeline construction presents a peak development trend. Scientific research institutions are undertaking major, key R & D projects in the country. These R & D projects have played an important role in the economic development of the country. TGRC is a research institution directly under PetroChina. To assume the supporting role of technology research and development in the national pipeline construction. Due to more and more uncertainties in the pipeline R & D project of the West to East Gas Transmission Line 2, various kinds of risks exist in the project. Traditional risk management plays a very important role in project management. Effective project risk management can improve the success rate of the project. Doing well the risk management of R & D project, reducing all kinds of uncertainty factors in the process of R & D project, reducing the risk and its adverse effects, has been paid more and more attention by the R & D team. In this paper, under the background of the pipeline R & D project of West-to-East Gas Transmission Line, the risk management model of pipeline R & D project is constructed by referring to the relevant theoretical knowledge of project risk management. The related risk factors in the pipeline R & D project of West to East Gas Transmission Line are fully identified, and the index system of the risk factors of the pipeline R & D project is constructed, and the risk is evaluated from two aspects of qualitative and quantitative analysis. According to the results of risk assessment, the risk response and prevention measures of the R & D project and the subsequent risk monitoring methods are put forward. Risk management consists of risk identification, risk assessment, risk prevention and risk monitoring. It provides a simple and referential operation mode for the risk management of similar R & D projects in the future.
【学位授予单位】：西安石油大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.22

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