四川省农业经济增长及其影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-10-13 16:22

【摘要】：农业经济增长及其影响因素问题一直都是社会各界重点关注和研究的领域。不同的历史时期,不同的发展环境,影响农业经济增长的因素也在逐步发生变化。在我国提出“四化同步”发展战略的背景下,研究影响四川省农业经济增长的主要因素都有哪些,对有力推进四川省农业现代化进程,提升农村经济发展水平,具有深远的意义。本文共分为五个部分：第一部分主要介绍了本文的研究背景、意义和研究方法,对相关文献和理论进行了系统地归纳整理；第二部分主要从农业产出总量和农业人均产出两方面,分析了农业经济增长状况,对农业经济增长做了实证预测分析；第三部分和第四部分分别从内生性因素方面和外生性因素方面分析了影响农业经济增长的因素,接着构建了柯布-道格拉斯农业生产函数,对影响四川省农业经济增长的内生性因素和外生性因素进行了实证分析；第五部分主要内容为在前面分析的基础上,提出了促使农业经济增长的可行性对策建议。本文的主要结论包括：(1)农业经济增长估计模型显示,农业人均产出的增长速度要高于农业产出总量的增长速度。(2)内生性影响因素里,物质资本和技术进步对四川省农业经济增长作用明显。它们是推动四川省农业经济增长的主要因素。值得注意的是,人力资本对四川省农业经济增长起负向作用。土地对农业经济增长影响不显著。(2)在外生性影响因素方面,农村居民家庭人均生活消费和农林牧渔业的全社会固定资产投资对四川省农业经济增长产生正方向影响。农村居民家庭人均生活消费比农林牧渔业的全社会固定资产投资对农业经济增长的影响更显著。非国有企业工业总值占工业总产值比重对农业经济增长的影响为正方向,这说明市场经济越发达,越有利于农业经济增长。本文提出的对策建议包括五个方面：积极引导农民增加农业投入；加大对农业的科技支持力度；不断提高农业从业人员素质；把控好财政支农总量和结构；继续强化农业经营制度创新。
[Abstract]:Agricultural economic growth and its influencing factors have always been the focus of attention and research in all walks of life. Different historical periods, different development environment, factors affecting agricultural economic growth are also gradually changing. Under the background of the development strategy of the "four modernizations" proposed by our country, the main factors that affect the agricultural economic growth in Sichuan Province are studied, so as to promote the agricultural modernization process of Sichuan Province and promote the level of rural economic development. Have far-reaching significance. This paper is divided into five parts: the first part mainly introduces the research background, significance and research methods, and systematically summarizes the relevant literature and theory; The second part mainly from the agricultural output gross and the agricultural per capita output two aspects, has analyzed the agriculture economic growth situation, has made the demonstration forecast analysis to the agricultural economic growth; The third part and the fourth part analyze the factors that affect the agricultural economic growth from the aspects of endogenous factors and exogenous factors respectively, and then construct the Cobb-Douglas agricultural production function. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the endogenous and exogenous factors that affect the agricultural economic growth in Sichuan Province. The fifth part mainly discusses the feasibility countermeasures and suggestions to promote the agricultural economic growth on the basis of the previous analysis. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the growth rate of agricultural per capita output is higher than that of total agricultural output. (2) among the endogenous factors, the growth rate of per capita agricultural output is higher than that of total agricultural output. Material capital and technology progress to Sichuan province agriculture economy growth effect is obvious. They are the main factor that stimulates Sichuan province agriculture economy to grow. It is worth noting that human capital plays a negative role in Sichuan's agricultural economic growth. The influence of land on agricultural economic growth is not significant. (2) in terms of exogenous factors, the per capita living consumption of rural households and the fixed assets investment of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry have a positive impact on the agricultural and economic growth in Sichuan Province. The per capita living consumption of rural households is more significant than the total fixed assets investment of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery on the agricultural economic growth. The proportion of the total industrial value of non-state-owned enterprises to the total industrial output value has a positive effect on the agricultural economic growth, which indicates that the more developed the market economy, the more favorable the agricultural economic growth. The countermeasures and suggestions in this paper include five aspects: to actively guide farmers to increase agricultural input, to increase scientific and technological support for agriculture, to continuously improve the quality of agricultural practitioners, to control the total amount and structure of financial support to agriculture; We will continue to strengthen innovation in the agricultural management system.
【学位授予单位】：四川农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F427

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