上海市制造业结构转型与制造业增长实证研究
发布时间：2018-10-14 17:02
【摘要】：上海市是我国最重要的制造业基地之一,上海制造具有丰厚的历史底蕴,建国以来上海市制造业扮演了重要的角色,促进了中国制造业产业体系的建设和发展。自上世纪90年代以来,上海市改变了产业发展战略,强调以第三产业为发展重点,制造业渐渐被淡忘,但进入21世纪后上海市对制造业的重新重视,上海市制造业又开始成为大家关注的热点。上海市制造业的发展史也是制造业的结构调整史,上海市制造业的发展一直都离不开制造业结构的调整和转型。 金融危机给世界经济带来了巨大麻烦,上海市经济增速也首次跌破两位数。后金融危机时代,上海市面临着外部需求萎缩、劳动力和土地成本上涨、部分行业产能过剩和节能减排要求更加严格等挑战,为了成功破解这些不利因素,上海市委市政府提出了“创新驱动、转型发展”的总体思路。目前,上海市制造业已经处于转型攻坚期,上海制造业结构转型不仅关系到制造业产业高端化目标能否实现,而且更加关系到上海创新驱动、转型发展的进程能否有效推进,研究上海市制造业结构变化与经济增长的关系具有丰富的理论价值和实践价值,有助于对制造业的结构调整方向有更清晰的了解,进而判断制造业增长的主要驱动因素。 本文主要研究了上海市制造业的结构转型,首先梳理了国内外的相关理论和文献,然后从产值结构、资本投入要素结构和劳动力投入要素结构三个方面重点分析了“十五”期间和“十一五”期间上海市制造业结构调整和转型的状况,并且对比分析了这两个时期的上海市制造业变化的异同点。同时运用了偏离份额法和数据包络法对上海市制造业结构转型和制造业增长的关系做了实证研究,发现上海市制造业结构转型对制造业增长具有较大的促进作用。最后在前面的研究基础上为上海市制造业的转型和发展提出了政策建议。
[Abstract]:Shanghai is one of the most important manufacturing bases in China. Shanghai manufacturing industry has played an important role since the founding of the people's Republic of China and promoted the construction and development of China's manufacturing industry system. Since the 1990s, Shanghai has changed its industrial development strategy, emphasizing that the tertiary industry is the focus of development, and the manufacturing industry has gradually been forgotten. However, after entering the 21st century, Shanghai has revalued the manufacturing industry. Shanghai manufacturing industry began to become the focus of attention. The history of development of Shanghai manufacturing industry is also the history of structural adjustment of manufacturing industry, and the development of Shanghai manufacturing industry has always been inseparable from the adjustment and transformation of manufacturing structure. The financial crisis has brought great trouble to the world economy, and Shanghai's economic growth has fallen below double digits for the first time. In the post-financial crisis era, Shanghai is facing challenges such as shrinking external demand, rising labor and land costs, overcapacity in some industries and stricter requirements for energy conservation and emission reduction. In order to successfully solve these disadvantages, Shanghai municipal party committee and government put forward the general idea of "innovation drive, transformation and development". At present, Shanghai's manufacturing industry has been in a period of transformation. The structural transformation of Shanghai's manufacturing industry is not only related to whether the goal of high-end manufacturing industry can be realized, but also more related to Shanghai's innovation drive and whether the process of transformation and development can be effectively promoted. The study of the relationship between the structural change of Shanghai manufacturing industry and the economic growth has rich theoretical and practical value, which is helpful to have a clearer understanding of the direction of the structural adjustment of the manufacturing industry and to judge the main driving factors of the growth of the manufacturing industry. This paper mainly studies the structural transformation of Shanghai manufacturing industry, first combing the relevant theories and literature at home and abroad, then from the structure of output value. This paper analyzes the adjustment and transformation of Shanghai manufacturing industry structure during the 10th Five-Year Plan period and the 11th Five-Year Plan period in three aspects: capital input factor structure and labor input factor structure. And has compared and analyzed these two periods Shanghai manufacturing industry change the similarities and differences. At the same time, the paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between the structural transformation of Shanghai manufacturing industry and the growth of manufacturing industry by using the method of deviation share and data envelopment, and finds that the structural transformation of manufacturing industry in Shanghai has a great role in promoting the growth of manufacturing industry. Finally, on the basis of the previous research, some policy suggestions are put forward for the transformation and development of Shanghai manufacturing industry.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F427
本文编号：2271062
[Abstract]:Shanghai is one of the most important manufacturing bases in China. Shanghai manufacturing industry has played an important role since the founding of the people's Republic of China and promoted the construction and development of China's manufacturing industry system. Since the 1990s, Shanghai has changed its industrial development strategy, emphasizing that the tertiary industry is the focus of development, and the manufacturing industry has gradually been forgotten. However, after entering the 21st century, Shanghai has revalued the manufacturing industry. Shanghai manufacturing industry began to become the focus of attention. The history of development of Shanghai manufacturing industry is also the history of structural adjustment of manufacturing industry, and the development of Shanghai manufacturing industry has always been inseparable from the adjustment and transformation of manufacturing structure. The financial crisis has brought great trouble to the world economy, and Shanghai's economic growth has fallen below double digits for the first time. In the post-financial crisis era, Shanghai is facing challenges such as shrinking external demand, rising labor and land costs, overcapacity in some industries and stricter requirements for energy conservation and emission reduction. In order to successfully solve these disadvantages, Shanghai municipal party committee and government put forward the general idea of "innovation drive, transformation and development". At present, Shanghai's manufacturing industry has been in a period of transformation. The structural transformation of Shanghai's manufacturing industry is not only related to whether the goal of high-end manufacturing industry can be realized, but also more related to Shanghai's innovation drive and whether the process of transformation and development can be effectively promoted. The study of the relationship between the structural change of Shanghai manufacturing industry and the economic growth has rich theoretical and practical value, which is helpful to have a clearer understanding of the direction of the structural adjustment of the manufacturing industry and to judge the main driving factors of the growth of the manufacturing industry. This paper mainly studies the structural transformation of Shanghai manufacturing industry, first combing the relevant theories and literature at home and abroad, then from the structure of output value. This paper analyzes the adjustment and transformation of Shanghai manufacturing industry structure during the 10th Five-Year Plan period and the 11th Five-Year Plan period in three aspects: capital input factor structure and labor input factor structure. And has compared and analyzed these two periods Shanghai manufacturing industry change the similarities and differences. At the same time, the paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between the structural transformation of Shanghai manufacturing industry and the growth of manufacturing industry by using the method of deviation share and data envelopment, and finds that the structural transformation of manufacturing industry in Shanghai has a great role in promoting the growth of manufacturing industry. Finally, on the basis of the previous research, some policy suggestions are put forward for the transformation and development of Shanghai manufacturing industry.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F427
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