我国分布式电源商业化投资机制及效益分析模型研究

发布时间：2018-11-03 16:49

【摘要】：受低碳经济的外部环境影响,以及节能减排的内在压力下,发展低碳电力、改善能源供应模式、寻求可持续能源发展之路已成为世界上多数国家和地区的重要能源发展战略。我国“十二五”规划也强调了低碳发展理念,并提出了构建现代能源产业体系。随着各类低碳政策的推广和实施,以及终端用户对能源需求灵活性要求的增强,灵活高效、经济环保的分布式电源吸引了越来越多的投资者。因此,完善分布式电源投资机制,系统化分析分布式电源投资的技术经济效果及投资前景,提出改善分布式电源投资效益的保障体系等工作亟需开展进一步研究。论文围绕着分布式电源项目投资问题,首先,简要介绍了分布式电源的基本概念,分析了我国分布式电源发展现状,总结了我国发展分布式电源的相关政策法规。其次,根据所制定的分布式电源投资模式设计原则,提出分布式电源投资模式,包括分布式电源投建模式和运维模式,并提出分布式电源商业化投资实现路径。然后,从项目投资角度建立了分布式电源项目投资效益分析模型,从综合评价角度构建了分布式电源综合效益评价指标体系及相应的评价模型,从利益相关者角度建立了分布式电源参与主体效益分析模型,实现了分布式电源项目从初选到优选决策,再到效益的系统化分析,并通过算例论证,得出分布式电源项目是一项多方共赢的工程。最后,结合课题研究,系统地提出分布式电源商业化投资风险机制及相关保障机制建议。以期本文研究能够为分布式电源商业化投资提供有价值的理论参考。
[Abstract]:Under the influence of the external environment of low carbon economy and the inherent pressure of energy saving and emission reduction, developing low carbon power, improving the mode of energy supply and seeking the way of sustainable energy development have become the important energy development strategies of most countries and regions in the world. The 12th five-year Plan also emphasizes the concept of low-carbon development and puts forward the construction of modern energy industry system. With the promotion and implementation of various low-carbon policies, as well as the increased demand for flexibility in energy demand by end-users, distributed power generation, which is flexible, efficient, economical and environmentally friendly, attracts more and more investors. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the investment mechanism of distributed power supply, systematically analyze the technical and economic effect and investment prospect of the investment of distributed power generation, and put forward the guarantee system to improve the investment benefit of distributed power generation. Firstly, this paper introduces the basic concept of distributed power generation, analyzes the present situation of distributed power generation in China, and summarizes the policies and regulations related to the development of distributed power generation in China. Secondly, according to the design principle of distributed power investment model, the paper puts forward the investment mode of distributed power supply, including the construction mode and operation mode of distributed power supply, and puts forward the realization path of commercialized investment of distributed power generation. Then, from the point of view of project investment, the investment benefit analysis model of distributed power project is established, and the evaluation index system of comprehensive benefit of distributed power supply and the corresponding evaluation model are constructed from the angle of comprehensive evaluation. The benefit analysis model of the main body involved in the distributed power generation is established from the angle of the stakeholders, which realizes the systematic analysis of the distributed power generation project from the primary election to the optimal decision, and then to the benefit. It is concluded that the distributed power generation project is a win-win project. Finally, based on the research, the paper systematically puts forward the investment risk mechanism and related safeguard mechanism of distributed power generation commercialization. The purpose of this paper is to provide a valuable theoretical reference for the commercialized investment of distributed power generation.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.6

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