行业贸易开放与行业产出波动的关系——基于中国制造业行业数据的经验分析
发布时间：2018-12-13 17:26
【摘要】：利用1999—2010年中国制造业行业数据,采用固定效应模型探讨了中国制造业行业的贸易开放度与产出波动的关系。实证结果表明:贸易开放对行业产出波动具有抑制作用。稳健性检验结果显示,上述结果不受关键指标选取和样本极端值的影响,且在控制了内生性问题后依然成立。最后指出:平抑产出波动是贸易开放的重要利得,我国制造业制定发展战略时仍需积极贯彻扩大开放的思路,同时倡导多样性的发展道路,其中产品多样性较市场多样性更为重要。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of Chinese manufacturing industry from 1999 to 2010, the relationship between trade openness and output fluctuation in Chinese manufacturing industry is discussed by using fixed effect model. The empirical results show that trade liberalization can restrain the fluctuation of industry output. The results of robustness test show that the above results are not affected by the selection of key indicators and the extreme values of samples, and are still true after controlling the endogenetic problems. Finally, it is pointed out that stabilizing the fluctuation of output is an important gain in the opening up of trade. When formulating the development strategy of our manufacturing industry, we still need to actively carry out the idea of expanding the opening up, and advocate the development path of diversity. Product diversity is more important than market diversity.
【作者单位】： 重庆三峡学院经济与管理学院;
【分类号】：F424;F752
本文编号：2376925
[Abstract]:Based on the data of Chinese manufacturing industry from 1999 to 2010, the relationship between trade openness and output fluctuation in Chinese manufacturing industry is discussed by using fixed effect model. The empirical results show that trade liberalization can restrain the fluctuation of industry output. The results of robustness test show that the above results are not affected by the selection of key indicators and the extreme values of samples, and are still true after controlling the endogenetic problems. Finally, it is pointed out that stabilizing the fluctuation of output is an important gain in the opening up of trade. When formulating the development strategy of our manufacturing industry, we still need to actively carry out the idea of expanding the opening up, and advocate the development path of diversity. Product diversity is more important than market diversity.
【作者单位】： 重庆三峡学院经济与管理学院;
【分类号】：F424;F752
【共引文献】
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