我国输美纺织品服装技术贸易壁垒预警系统研究
发布时间：2019-03-01 20:46
【摘要】：纺织服装行业在我国已经发展了几千年,历史悠久,生产能力强,比较优势明显,历来在我国和美国的贸易中占着相当大的比重。但近年来,随着中国的纺织品和服装对美出口中关税壁垒的减弱,遭遇到以技术法规、技术标准、合格评定程序、卫生检疫措施等为主要内容的技术贸易壁垒的形势日益严重。在受美国技术性贸易措施影响较大的行业中,纺织品服装行业排在前列。因此,深入了解美国在纺织品服装领域的技术贸易壁垒措施,建立相应的预警体系,避免和减少损失,具有现实的经济和社会意义。 本文介绍了中国纺织服装行业发展和出口美国现状,分析了我国主要出口对象美国相关的技术性贸易壁垒设置情况和设置根源,在借鉴国内外有关预警理论研究成果的基础上,选取合适的经济贸易和技术差距指标,应用BP人工神经网络模型搭建了我国纺织品和服装输美技术贸易壁垒预警系统。通过计算和验证,证明该系统具有良好的预测效果,可信度显著。最后文末给出了结论,并基于预警模型提出了对策建议。
[Abstract]:Textile and garment industry has been developed for thousands of years in our country. It has a long history, strong production capacity and obvious comparative advantage. It has always occupied a large proportion in the trade between China and the United States. However, in recent years, with the weakening of tariff barriers in China's textile and clothing exports to the United States, the situation of technical barriers to trade, which mainly includes technical regulations, technical standards, conformity assessment procedures, health and quarantine measures and so on, has become more and more serious. The textile and clothing industry is in the forefront among the industries which are greatly affected by the technical trade measures of the United States. Therefore, it is of realistic economic and social significance to deeply understand the technical barriers to trade of the United States in the field of textiles and clothing, to establish a corresponding early warning system, to avoid and reduce losses, and to have practical economic and social significance. This paper introduces the development of China's textile and clothing industry and the status quo of its export to the United States, analyzes the establishment of technical barriers to trade in the United States, the main export target of China, and the root causes of the establishment, and on the basis of drawing lessons from domestic and foreign research results on early warning theory, The BP artificial neural network model is applied to set up the early warning system of China's textile and clothing technical barriers to import into the United States by selecting the appropriate index of economic trade and technology gap. Through calculation and verification, it is proved that the system has good prediction effect and good reliability. At the end of the paper, the conclusion is given, and the countermeasures and suggestions based on the early warning model are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：南京理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.86;F752.7
本文编号：2432784
[Abstract]:Textile and garment industry has been developed for thousands of years in our country. It has a long history, strong production capacity and obvious comparative advantage. It has always occupied a large proportion in the trade between China and the United States. However, in recent years, with the weakening of tariff barriers in China's textile and clothing exports to the United States, the situation of technical barriers to trade, which mainly includes technical regulations, technical standards, conformity assessment procedures, health and quarantine measures and so on, has become more and more serious. The textile and clothing industry is in the forefront among the industries which are greatly affected by the technical trade measures of the United States. Therefore, it is of realistic economic and social significance to deeply understand the technical barriers to trade of the United States in the field of textiles and clothing, to establish a corresponding early warning system, to avoid and reduce losses, and to have practical economic and social significance. This paper introduces the development of China's textile and clothing industry and the status quo of its export to the United States, analyzes the establishment of technical barriers to trade in the United States, the main export target of China, and the root causes of the establishment, and on the basis of drawing lessons from domestic and foreign research results on early warning theory, The BP artificial neural network model is applied to set up the early warning system of China's textile and clothing technical barriers to import into the United States by selecting the appropriate index of economic trade and technology gap. Through calculation and verification, it is proved that the system has good prediction effect and good reliability. At the end of the paper, the conclusion is given, and the countermeasures and suggestions based on the early warning model are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：南京理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F426.86;F752.7
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 蒋国瑞;臧国军;;电子信息产品技术性贸易壁垒预警模型[J];北京工业大学学报;2007年10期
2 夏友富;技术性贸易壁垒体系与当代国际贸易[J];中国工业经济;2001年05期
3 蒋国瑞;臧国军;;技术性贸易壁垒预警指标新思考[J];国际经贸探索;2007年10期
4 郭燕;;入世10年中国纺织品服装出口贸易发展特征分析[J];纺织导报;2012年01期
5 曾凡银;绿色壁垒的风险预警与防范机制研究[J];经济研究参考;2005年75期
6 王江;龚丽;;中国农产品技术性贸易壁垒预警指标探讨[J];经济与管理研究;2006年04期
7 魏建良;谢阳群;;技术性贸易壁垒及其预警机制研究[J];科学管理研究;2006年01期
8 赵瑞莹;杨学成;;农产品价格风险预警模型的建立与应用——基于BP人工神经网络[J];农业现代化研究;2008年02期
9 魏建良;谢阳群;;技术性贸易壁垒的预警信息管理研究[J];情报科学;2007年02期
10 吴兴华;;构建纺织品绿色贸易壁垒预警系统[J];商场现代化;2007年01期
，本文编号：2432784
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/guanlilunwen/shengchanguanlilunwen/2432784.html
