人民币国际化进程中制造业升级的演变路径研究
发布时间：2019-05-20 10:39
【摘要】：1949年建国以来，经过几十年的发展，我国逐渐完成了对工业的社会主义改造，建立了完善的社会主义工业体系。制造业的建设在我国国民经济体系的发展中长期占据着重要地位。1978年改革开放以来我国经济总量不断攀升，从1979年至今的30多年间，我国经济逐年持续高速增长，近年来，由美国引发的全球性经济危机，是我国经济发展的一个历史机遇。随着我国经济实力和综合国力的不断提高，以及国际地位的不断上升，我国已经成为世界最大的经济体和对外贸易体之一。我国对外金融管制的逐步自由化,我国在全球经济体和金融体系中的重要性日益增强,人民币已经在中国与周边国家的贸易中得到广泛的应用,而中国经济的崛起和影响力的增强,更加激发了人们对人民币国际化可能性的思考。我国综合国力的提升及人民币国际化的加快对制造业的转型升级提出了根本性的要求。长期以来，我国一直是“制造业大国”，而非“制造业强国”。实现制造业的转型升级最主要的是使制造业从产值型转向效益型，由速度型转向结构性，由数量型转向质量型，由粗放型转向集约型，调整、优化制造业内部结构。我们主要分轻纺业，化工业及装备业三大类来分析制造业的演变升级。因此，人民币国际化有利于实现人民币的自由兑换，为制造业的升级及对外贸易提供了极大的便利。人民币国际化有利于减少汇价风险，促进对外贸易，有利于降低交易成本，减轻企业负担，有利于提供贸易商机，吸引海外企业投资。 本文首先主要从时间角度及人民币功能角度对人民币国际化的进程及现状进行了详细认真的分析，然后对我国制造业选取具有代表性的轻纺业，化工业，运输及装备业三大行业的发展进行阐述。选取1994年-2011年的历年人民币兑美元汇率数据及三大制造业的工业制成品出口贸易额数据，进行线性相关性实证分析并进行检验。在此基础上得出本文主要结论：在持续稳定的汇率水平下，人民币汇率稳定的升值有利于工业制成品的出口及制造业的转型升级。本文共分为五个部分： 第一部分是绪论。主要介绍了选题背景及意义，国内外文献综述，本文的研究思路和方法及可能的创新和不足。 第二部分是人民币国际化进程与现状分析。主要分析了我国人民币国际化的时间进程，地域进程及功能扩展进程。目前，，人民币已经成为了周边国家的区域性货币，人民币在港台地区业务发展较快，双边货币合作不断取得突破，跨境贸易人民币结算试点有序开展。此外，当前我国人民币对内贬值，对外升值的趋势更加明显。 第三部分对制造业的发展从轻纺业，化工业，装备业三大行业的发展进程及产业演变升级进行了具体详细的理论分析。 第四部分首先从理论方面对人民币国际化与制造业升级的关系进行分析。然后在分别具体分析了人民币汇率与人民币国际化之间的关系及人民币国际化与国际贸易之间的关系。最后选取1994年-2011年的历年人民币兑美元汇率数据及三大制造业的工业制成品出口贸易额数据，根据经济学，统计学及计量经济学的理论基础进行实证分析，并进行检验。 第五部分是总结。主要对前文研究进行总结，得出本文结论，并对未来研究进行展望。
[Abstract]:Since the founding of the People's Republic of China in 1949, after several decades of development, our country has gradually completed the socialist transformation of the industry, and set up a perfect socialist industrial system. The construction of the manufacturing industry plays an important role in the development of our national economy system. Since the reform and opening-up in 1978, the total economy of our country has been rising. From the past 30 years to the present in 1979, China's economy has sustained high-speed growth year by year. In recent years, the global economic crisis caused by the United States, It is a historical opportunity for China's economic development. With the continuous improvement of our country's economic strength and comprehensive national strength, and the rising of international status, our country has become one of the world's largest economies and foreign trade bodies. With the gradual liberalization of China's external financial regulation, the importance of our country in the global economy and financial system is increasing, and the RMB has been widely used in the trade of China and its neighboring countries, and the rise and influence of China's economy are strengthened. It is more exciting for people to think about the possibility of the internationalization of the RMB. The improvement of the comprehensive national strength and the acceleration of the internationalization of the RMB have made a fundamental requirement for the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry. For a long time, my country has been a "a large manufacturing country", not a "the manufacturing power of manufacturing". The most important of the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry is to shift the manufacturing industry from the output value type to the utility model. We are mainly divided into three categories: light spinning, chemical industry and equipment industry to analyze the evolution and upgrading of manufacturing industry. Therefore, the internationalization of the RMB is favorable for realizing the free exchange of the RMB, which provides great convenience for the upgrading of the manufacturing industry and the foreign trade. The internationalization of RMB is beneficial to reducing the risk of exchange price, promoting foreign trade, helping to reduce transaction costs, reducing the burden of enterprises, facilitating the provision of trade business opportunities and attracting investment from overseas enterprises. In this paper, the process and present situation of RMB internationalization are analyzed in detail in terms of time angle and the function of RMB, and then the development of three major industries, such as light spinning, chemical industry, transportation and equipment industry, is selected in the manufacturing industry of China. Statement. Select the data of the RMB against the US dollar and the export volume of the industrial finished products of the three manufacturing industries for the years 1994-2011, and conduct an empirical analysis of the linear correlation and conduct the inspection. On the basis of this, the main conclusions of this paper are as follows: The stable value of the RMB exchange rate is favorable to the export of industrial products and the transformation of the manufacturing industry at a sustained and stable exchange rate level. The paper is divided into five parts. Sub-section: Part I It is an introduction. It mainly introduces the background and significance of the topic, the literature review at home and abroad, the thought and method of the research and possible innovation in this paper. and the second part is the RMB internationalization process This paper mainly analyzes the time course, the regional process and the work of the RMB internationalization in China. At present, the RMB has become the regional currency of the neighboring countries. The RMB has developed rapidly in the Hong Kong-Taiwan region, and the bilateral monetary cooperation has made a breakthrough, and the cross-border trade RMB settlement test In addition, the current China's internal devaluation and the trend of external appreciation In the third part, the development of the manufacturing industry from the light textile industry, the chemical industry, the equipment industry, the development of the three industries and the upgrading of the industrial development have been made The fourth part, from the theory aspect, to the internationalization and manufacturing of the RMB The relationship between RMB exchange rate and RMB internationalization and the internationalization of RMB are analyzed in detail. The relationship between international trade and international trade. Finally, the data of the annual trade volume of the RMB against the US dollar and the export volume of the industrial products of the three manufacturing industries for the years 1994-2011 are selected, and the real-time economic, statistical and econometrics are based on the theoretical basis of the economic, statistical and econometrics. Certificate analysis, and inspection The fifth part is a summary. The conclusion is mainly summarized in the above research, and the conclusion is drawn.
【学位授予单位】：河南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6;F424
本文编号：2481594
[Abstract]:Since the founding of the People's Republic of China in 1949, after several decades of development, our country has gradually completed the socialist transformation of the industry, and set up a perfect socialist industrial system. The construction of the manufacturing industry plays an important role in the development of our national economy system. Since the reform and opening-up in 1978, the total economy of our country has been rising. From the past 30 years to the present in 1979, China's economy has sustained high-speed growth year by year. In recent years, the global economic crisis caused by the United States, It is a historical opportunity for China's economic development. With the continuous improvement of our country's economic strength and comprehensive national strength, and the rising of international status, our country has become one of the world's largest economies and foreign trade bodies. With the gradual liberalization of China's external financial regulation, the importance of our country in the global economy and financial system is increasing, and the RMB has been widely used in the trade of China and its neighboring countries, and the rise and influence of China's economy are strengthened. It is more exciting for people to think about the possibility of the internationalization of the RMB. The improvement of the comprehensive national strength and the acceleration of the internationalization of the RMB have made a fundamental requirement for the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry. For a long time, my country has been a "a large manufacturing country", not a "the manufacturing power of manufacturing". The most important of the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry is to shift the manufacturing industry from the output value type to the utility model. We are mainly divided into three categories: light spinning, chemical industry and equipment industry to analyze the evolution and upgrading of manufacturing industry. Therefore, the internationalization of the RMB is favorable for realizing the free exchange of the RMB, which provides great convenience for the upgrading of the manufacturing industry and the foreign trade. The internationalization of RMB is beneficial to reducing the risk of exchange price, promoting foreign trade, helping to reduce transaction costs, reducing the burden of enterprises, facilitating the provision of trade business opportunities and attracting investment from overseas enterprises. In this paper, the process and present situation of RMB internationalization are analyzed in detail in terms of time angle and the function of RMB, and then the development of three major industries, such as light spinning, chemical industry, transportation and equipment industry, is selected in the manufacturing industry of China. Statement. Select the data of the RMB against the US dollar and the export volume of the industrial finished products of the three manufacturing industries for the years 1994-2011, and conduct an empirical analysis of the linear correlation and conduct the inspection. On the basis of this, the main conclusions of this paper are as follows: The stable value of the RMB exchange rate is favorable to the export of industrial products and the transformation of the manufacturing industry at a sustained and stable exchange rate level. The paper is divided into five parts. Sub-section: Part I It is an introduction. It mainly introduces the background and significance of the topic, the literature review at home and abroad, the thought and method of the research and possible innovation in this paper. and the second part is the RMB internationalization process This paper mainly analyzes the time course, the regional process and the work of the RMB internationalization in China. At present, the RMB has become the regional currency of the neighboring countries. The RMB has developed rapidly in the Hong Kong-Taiwan region, and the bilateral monetary cooperation has made a breakthrough, and the cross-border trade RMB settlement test In addition, the current China's internal devaluation and the trend of external appreciation In the third part, the development of the manufacturing industry from the light textile industry, the chemical industry, the equipment industry, the development of the three industries and the upgrading of the industrial development have been made The fourth part, from the theory aspect, to the internationalization and manufacturing of the RMB The relationship between RMB exchange rate and RMB internationalization and the internationalization of RMB are analyzed in detail. The relationship between international trade and international trade. Finally, the data of the annual trade volume of the RMB against the US dollar and the export volume of the industrial products of the three manufacturing industries for the years 1994-2011 are selected, and the real-time economic, statistical and econometrics are based on the theoretical basis of the economic, statistical and econometrics. Certificate analysis, and inspection The fifth part is a summary. The conclusion is mainly summarized in the above research, and the conclusion is drawn.
【学位授予单位】：河南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6;F424
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本文编号：2481594
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