开放经济下中国工业结构优化与升级及影响因素分析:1985~2010
发布时间：2019-06-15 12:44
【摘要】：通过对中国1985~2010年的工业数据分析,发现中国工业结构发生了较大的变化,结构升级效应十分显著;随后在VAR模型的基础上,运用协整分析、误差修正模型、脉冲响应和方差分解计量方法发现,长期内技术吸收能力、制度变迁和FDI都对工业结构的优化与升级起到促进作用,四者之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,且有效的制度变迁是工业结构调整与升级的原因,不仅存在短期水平效应,而且也存在长期增长效应。
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of industrial data from 1985 to 2010 in China, it is found that great changes have taken place in China's industrial structure, and the effect of structural upgrading is very significant. Then, on the basis of VAR model, using cointegration analysis, error correction model, impulse response and variance decomposition measurement methods, it is found that technology absorption capacity, institutional change and FDI all play an important role in promoting the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in the long run. There is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship among the four, and the effective institutional change is the cause of industrial structure adjustment and upgrading, which not only has short-term horizontal effect. And there is also a long-term growth effect.
【作者单位】： 南京大学;中共河池市委党校;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(项目编号:11AJL003)
【分类号】：F424
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of industrial data from 1985 to 2010 in China, it is found that great changes have taken place in China's industrial structure, and the effect of structural upgrading is very significant. Then, on the basis of VAR model, using cointegration analysis, error correction model, impulse response and variance decomposition measurement methods, it is found that technology absorption capacity, institutional change and FDI all play an important role in promoting the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in the long run. There is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship among the four, and the effective institutional change is the cause of industrial structure adjustment and upgrading, which not only has short-term horizontal effect. And there is also a long-term growth effect.
【作者单位】： 南京大学;中共河池市委党校;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(项目编号:11AJL003)
【分类号】：F424
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前8条
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