我国城镇化发展与财政支出结构的关系研究

发布时间：2018-03-22 16:25

本文选题：城镇化发展　切入点：财政支出结构　出处：《复旦大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：上世纪90年代以来,我国城镇化在经济体制改革的背景下迅速发展,越来越受到社会各界的关注。国内外专家学者普遍认为,我国的城镇化发展将成为扩大内需的强大引擎,甚至会深远的影响世界的经济发展。我国财政支出结构体现着政府的意志和政策导向,把握着我国经济社会发展的方向盘。因此,如何有效地调整我国财政支出结构来推进城镇化的发展将成为一个重要问题。本文在总结、分析国内外关于城镇化发展和国家财政支出结构的文献的基础上,首先对城镇化发展作了简要的介绍,对我国的城镇化发展进行了分析和评价,认为对城镇化发展水平的认识不应只是简单的人口城镇化率或土地城镇化率,真正体现城镇化发展水平的应该是城镇化发展质量。然后对我国财政支出结构的变化及特点进行了分析总结,并对我国城镇化发展与财政支出结构的关系进行了分析。通过综合关于城镇化发展质量水平的相关文献,本文进行了包括经济发展、社会发展、空间发展、城镇化效率、城乡协调五个维度17个指标的我国城镇化发展质量指数体系的构建,在“降维”思想的引导下,利用主成分分析法将所有指标数据整合成一个综合指数,来评价我国城镇化发展水平。之后,选取我国国家财政支出中与城镇化发展较为相关的科技支出、教育支出、卫生支出、社会保障支出这四个支出项目的比重作为自变量,通过建立多元线性回归模型的方法来研究我国城镇化发展与财政支出结构的关系。最后,本文通过实证分析,发现提高我国财政科技支出比重、卫生支出比重、社会保障支出比重都不同程度的对城镇化发展水平的提高有促进作用。结合相关的分析,本文在文末给出了一些政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the 1990s, China's urbanization has developed rapidly under the background of economic restructuring and has attracted more and more attention from all walks of life. Experts and scholars at home and abroad generally believe that the development of urbanization in China will become a powerful engine for expanding domestic demand. China's fiscal expenditure structure embodies the will and policy direction of the government and holds the steering wheel of China's economic and social development. How to effectively adjust the financial expenditure structure to promote the development of urbanization will become an important issue. This paper summarizes and analyzes the domestic and foreign literature on the development of urbanization and the structure of national financial expenditure. Firstly, this paper briefly introduces the development of urbanization, analyzes and evaluates the development of urbanization in China, and thinks that the understanding of the development level of urbanization should not be simply the rate of population urbanization or the rate of urbanization of land. The real embodiment of urbanization development level should be the quality of urbanization development. Then the changes and characteristics of fiscal expenditure structure in China are analyzed and summarized. The relationship between urbanization development and financial expenditure structure in China is analyzed. By synthesizing the relevant literature on the quality level of urbanization development, this paper includes economic development, social development, spatial development, urbanization efficiency, economic development, social development, spatial development, urbanization efficiency, economic development, social development, spatial development and urbanization efficiency. Under the guidance of the idea of "reducing dimension", the quality index system of urbanization development in China, which coordinates five dimensions and 17 indexes, integrates all the index data into a comprehensive index by principal component analysis (PCA). To evaluate the development level of urbanization in China. After that, the proportion of the four items of expenditure on science and technology, education, health, and social security, which are related to the development of urbanization, are selected as independent variables. The relationship between the development of urbanization and the structure of fiscal expenditure in China is studied by establishing a multivariate linear regression model. Finally, through empirical analysis, it is found that the proportion of fiscal expenditure on science and technology and the proportion of health expenditure in China are increased. The proportion of social security expenditure can promote the development of urbanization in varying degrees. Based on the relevant analysis, this paper gives some policy suggestions at the end of this paper.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.21;F812.45

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