民生投入、门槛效应和经济增长——基于2001～2012年省际面板数据的实证分析

发布时间：2018-05-28 03:20

本文选题：民生投入 + 经济增长　；参考：《当代经济管理》2015年10期

【摘要】：利用中国2001~2012年省际面板数据,从教育、医疗卫生和社会保障支出三个方面,分析了民生投入对经济增长贡献的门槛效应。研究结果表明,民生投入对经济增长贡献的门槛效应主要受经济发展水平影响。教育支出对经济增长贡献相对较大,社会保障支出对经济增长贡献其次,医疗卫生支出对经济增长贡献较小。社会保障支出对经济增长贡献的门槛效应,比教育支出和医疗支出来得"早一点"。实证结果表明中国尚不存在民生投入边际作用递减特征,故而需要进一步加大对民生投入;应着重加大对中西部省份的民生投入,促使其超过"门槛值";民生投入对经济增长贡献门槛效应发挥也受其他因素影响,只有民生投入和经济发展水平相协调才能发挥出更大的作用。
[Abstract]:Based on the provincial panel data from 2001 to 2012, this paper analyzes the threshold effect of people's livelihood input on economic growth from three aspects: education, health care and social security expenditure. The results show that the threshold effect of the contribution of people's livelihood input to economic growth is mainly affected by the level of economic development. The contribution of education expenditure to economic growth is relatively large, social security expenditure to economic growth contribution is second, medical and health expenditure to economic growth contribution is relatively small. The threshold effect of social security spending on economic growth is "earlier" than spending on education and health care. The empirical results show that there is no diminishing marginal role of people's livelihood investment in China, so it is necessary to further increase the investment in people's livelihood, and we should focus on increasing the people's livelihood investment in the central and western provinces. The threshold effect of people's livelihood input to economic growth is also affected by other factors, and only the coordination between people's livelihood input and economic development level can play a greater role.
【作者单位】：安徽工业大学商学院;复旦大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(11CJL001) 中国博士后科学基金特别资助(2014T70378);中国博士后科学基金(2013M531092) 安徽省高校人文社会科学重大研究项目(SK2013ZD02)
【分类号】：F124.1;F812.45

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