政府支出、资产累积和消费扩张——基于贫困地区农村居民消费的随机游走假说特点
发布时间：2018-11-20 16:33
【摘要】：居民消费不足一直是中国经济发展中存在的一个问题,在农村贫困地区尤为显著。文章基于近10年的扩张性财政政策对消费的影响考虑,从农村居民消费的随机性假设出发,构建影响农村居民消费的理论模型,发现居民资产的累积和收入水平对消费起着决定性作用,并用2000~2013年中国农村贫困监测数据进行实证分析,发现贫困地区财政支出增加形成的消费型和生产型公共服务的供给改善、产业发展所致的贫困地区居民资产增加和居民的收入水平对贫困地区农村居民的消费影响有所差异,同时根据实证分析结果就如何促进贫困地区农村居民消费的政策安排进行思考。
[Abstract]:Insufficient consumption has always been a problem in China's economic development, especially in poor rural areas. Based on the influence of expansionary fiscal policy on consumption in the past 10 years, this paper constructs a theoretical model to influence rural residents' consumption from the assumption of randomness of rural residents' consumption. It is found that the accumulation of assets and income level of residents play a decisive role in consumption. The empirical analysis is carried out with the monitoring data of rural poverty in China from 2000 to 2013. It is found that the supply of consumptive and productive public services is improved due to the increase of fiscal expenditure in poor areas, and the increase of residents' assets caused by industrial development and the income level of residents have different effects on the consumption of rural residents in poor areas. At the same time, according to the results of empirical analysis on how to promote rural residents consumption policy arrangements in poor areas.
【作者单位】： 云南财经大学财政与公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“主体功能区规划下多民族地区城乡基本公共服务均等化问题研究”(71263053);“城镇化过程中群体性事件化解的一个新视角:正确处理政府和市场在资源配置中的关系”(71663055) 云南省哲学社会科学研究基地课题“精准扶贫战略下云南省贫困地区扶贫开发政策的反馈机制研究”(JD2017YB17)
【分类号】：F323.8;F812.8
，
本文编号：2345406
[Abstract]:Insufficient consumption has always been a problem in China's economic development, especially in poor rural areas. Based on the influence of expansionary fiscal policy on consumption in the past 10 years, this paper constructs a theoretical model to influence rural residents' consumption from the assumption of randomness of rural residents' consumption. It is found that the accumulation of assets and income level of residents play a decisive role in consumption. The empirical analysis is carried out with the monitoring data of rural poverty in China from 2000 to 2013. It is found that the supply of consumptive and productive public services is improved due to the increase of fiscal expenditure in poor areas, and the increase of residents' assets caused by industrial development and the income level of residents have different effects on the consumption of rural residents in poor areas. At the same time, according to the results of empirical analysis on how to promote rural residents consumption policy arrangements in poor areas.
【作者单位】： 云南财经大学财政与公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“主体功能区规划下多民族地区城乡基本公共服务均等化问题研究”(71263053);“城镇化过程中群体性事件化解的一个新视角:正确处理政府和市场在资源配置中的关系”(71663055) 云南省哲学社会科学研究基地课题“精准扶贫战略下云南省贫困地区扶贫开发政策的反馈机制研究”(JD2017YB17)
【分类号】：F323.8;F812.8
，
本文编号：2345406
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