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碳税、能源强度对我国工业行业技术创新影响研究

发布时间:2019-04-24 08:16
【摘要】:我国碳税政策实施迫在眉睫,征收碳税实现减排目标的同时也会对我国宏观经济造成一定的冲击,而技术创新既可以增强碳税的节能减排效应,又能够缓解碳税对宏观经济的负效应,,但我国现阶段技术创新尤其是低碳技术发展水平较低。因此,在征收碳税时,碳税对技术创新产生怎样影响,成为能否实现碳减排和经济可持续发展双重目标的关键。 本文通过理论模型建立碳税强度、能源强度及碳税补贴与技术创新之间的关系,分析得到三个基本推论:(1)碳税强度与工业的技术创新之间存在倒“U”关系;(2)能源强度对技术创新产生正效应;(3)碳税补贴对技术创新的影响存在不确定性。进一步,我们选取2004—2011年中国37个行业面板数据,实证验证了这三个推论。在实证分析过程中还发现:我国工业行业能源消耗与碳排放之间存在非对称性;我国工业行业技术创新投入效率较低;无论是创新投入碳税补贴还是创新产出碳税补贴都能够推动工业行业技术创新能的发展,增强碳税对技术创新的激励作用,减弱能源强度对技术创新的负效应;整体上来说,创新产出碳税补贴对技术创新影响比创新投入碳税补贴更佳;外商直接投资对技术创新产生负效应;研发资本投入和劳动力投入与技术创新之间存在正相关。
[Abstract]:The implementation of China's carbon tax policy is imminent, while the carbon tax will achieve emission reduction targets, it will also have a certain impact on the macro-economy of our country, and technological innovation can not only enhance the energy-saving and emission-reducing effects of the carbon tax, It can also alleviate the negative effect of carbon tax on macro-economy, but the development level of technology innovation, especially low-carbon technology is relatively low in our country at present. Therefore, the impact of carbon tax on technological innovation is the key to achieve the dual goals of carbon emission reduction and sustainable economic development. This paper establishes the relationship between carbon tax intensity, energy intensity, carbon tax subsidy and technological innovation through the theoretical model. Three basic corollaries are obtained: (1) there is an inverted U relationship between the intensity of carbon tax and the technological innovation of industry; (2) the energy intensity has a positive effect on technological innovation; (3) the influence of carbon tax subsidy on technological innovation is uncertain. Furthermore, we select 37 industry panel data from 2004 to 2011 to verify these three corollaries. In the process of empirical analysis, it is also found that there is asymmetry between energy consumption and carbon emission in China's industrial industry, low input efficiency of technological innovation in China's industrial industry, and low investment efficiency in technological innovation in China's industrial industry. Whether it is the carbon tax subsidy of innovation input or the carbon tax subsidy of innovation output, it can promote the development of technology innovation energy in industrial industry, enhance the incentive effect of carbon tax on technology innovation, and weaken the negative effect of energy intensity on technology innovation. Overall, the carbon tax subsidy for innovation output has a better impact on technological innovation than the carbon tax subsidy for innovation input; foreign direct investment has a negative effect on technological innovation; and there is a positive correlation between R & D capital input and labor input and technological innovation.
【学位授予单位】:暨南大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F812.42;F424.3;F205

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