经济增长、社会保障与就业水平:影响机制及实证分析
发布时间：2018-07-17 15:48
【摘要】：基于影响机制理论分析和宏观经济数据,本文运用非线性STR模型实证分析了我国经济增长和就业关系,并进一步检验了社会保障中介作用的存在。研究结论认为:经济增长的就业效应存在显著为正的非线性特征,社会保障对经济增长就业效应具有正向中介调节作用。当居民面临诸多不确定性的经济体制改革初期,劳动力供给替代效应显著大于收入效应,社会保障就业效应属于被动调节。而当社会保障制度逐渐完善时期,社会保障发挥了主动调节平抑就业波动的积极作用。考察社会保障的经济增长就业效应需要密切关注劳动力市场变化,提高劳动力就业质量,构建经济政策、就业政策以及社会保障政策相互促进机制。
[Abstract]:Based on the theoretical analysis of influence mechanism and macroeconomic data, this paper empirically analyzes the relationship between economic growth and employment by using nonlinear STR model, and further examines the existence of social security intermediary role. The conclusion is that the employment effect of economic growth has a significant positive nonlinear characteristic, and social security has a positive mediating effect on the employment effect of economic growth. At the beginning of the economic system reform, the substitution effect of labor force supply is obviously greater than the income effect, and the employment effect of social security belongs to passive regulation. When the social security system was gradually improved, social security played an active role in regulating employment fluctuations. To investigate the employment effect of social security, we should pay close attention to the change of labor market, improve the quality of labor force employment, and construct the mutual promotion mechanism of economic policy, employment policy and social security policy.
【作者单位】： 东北财经大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金一般项目(17BSH072);国家社科基金青年项目(17CRK011) 教育部人文社科研究项目(15JJD790002) 辽宁省教育厅一般项目(LN2016YB004) 东北财经大学研究生教改课题(yjzx201711)成果
【分类号】：D632.1;F124.1;F249.2
本文编号：2130148
[Abstract]:Based on the theoretical analysis of influence mechanism and macroeconomic data, this paper empirically analyzes the relationship between economic growth and employment by using nonlinear STR model, and further examines the existence of social security intermediary role. The conclusion is that the employment effect of economic growth has a significant positive nonlinear characteristic, and social security has a positive mediating effect on the employment effect of economic growth. At the beginning of the economic system reform, the substitution effect of labor force supply is obviously greater than the income effect, and the employment effect of social security belongs to passive regulation. When the social security system was gradually improved, social security played an active role in regulating employment fluctuations. To investigate the employment effect of social security, we should pay close attention to the change of labor market, improve the quality of labor force employment, and construct the mutual promotion mechanism of economic policy, employment policy and social security policy.
【作者单位】： 东北财经大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金一般项目(17BSH072);国家社科基金青年项目(17CRK011) 教育部人文社科研究项目(15JJD790002) 辽宁省教育厅一般项目(LN2016YB004) 东北财经大学研究生教改课题(yjzx201711)成果
【分类号】：D632.1;F124.1;F249.2
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