高等教育结构与产业结构、就业结构的关系

发布时间：2018-05-01 03:37

本文选题：高等教育结构 + 就业结构　；参考：《人口与经济》2017年02期

【摘要】：基于经济增长的内生化视角,围绕高等教育结构、就业结构、产业结构三者的辩证关系,基于MRW模型验证"三结构"之间逻辑关系,并运用面板数据回归和门限值回归的方法,检验"三结构"之间实际相互关系。研究发现,在经济增长的不同阶段三者表现出不同的传导关系,即在经济增长的低级阶段,以产业结构调整的"拉动"为主,到经济增长的高级阶段以高等教育结构调整的"推动"为主。高等教育结构对产业结构和就业结构影响的实证结果表明,高等教育结构对于第一产业结构和就业结构比例的下降有促进作用,与第二产业和第三产业结构的调整呈弱负相关。如果高等教育结构充分发挥对以第三产业为主导的产业结构的作用,则高等教育需要从大众化向普及化阶段过渡。对传导机制的测算结果显示,2001—2013年产业结构到高等教育结构的传导时滞为8年,从高等教育结构到产业结构的时滞为6年。
[Abstract]:Based on the endogenous perspective of economic growth and the dialectical relationship among higher education structure, employment structure and industrial structure, the logical relationship between "three structures" is verified based on MRW model, and the methods of panel data regression and threshold regression are used. Examine the actual relationship between the "three structures". The study found that the three showed different conduction relations in different stages of economic growth, that is, in the lower stage of economic growth, the "pull" of industrial structure adjustment was the main factor. To the advanced stage of economic growth to the higher education restructuring of the "push". The empirical results of the influence of higher education structure on industrial structure and employment structure show that the structure of higher education can promote the decline of primary industrial structure and employment structure, and has a weak negative correlation with the adjustment of secondary and tertiary industrial structure. If the structure of higher education plays a full role in the industrial structure dominated by the tertiary industry, the higher education needs to transition from popularization to popularization. The results show that the conduction delay from industrial structure to higher education structure from 2001 to 2013 is 8 years, and from higher education structure to industrial structure is 6 years.
【作者单位】：首都经济贸易大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“正确处理经济平稳较快发展、调整经济结构、管理通胀预期的关系研究”(12&ZD038) 2014年度国家社会科学一般项目“对中国不同发展阶段减排目标的碳排放权分配机制研究”(14BJL101)
【分类号】：G649.2

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