教育与经济互动关系的系统动力学分析及其启示

发布时间：2018-06-15 16:08

本文选题：教育经济 + 系统动力学　；参考：《陕西师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2008年02期

【摘要】：目前对于教育与经济互动关系的研究大多是源于理论讨论和逻辑思辨,仅有少数的实证研究关注二者互动关系和互动作用,缺乏对二者互动发展的实施途径、原理、动力等深层问题的定量研究。系统动力学理论和方法对教育和经济互动关系的计量分析有助于对这一问题研究的深化。运用系统动力学的理论和方法构建的教育和经济互动关系的定量模型及其验证表明,人均GDP决定着人均教育经费,人均教育经费又决定着专任教师的数量,而专任教师的数量决定着6岁以上人口中大专以上人口的比例,6岁以上人口中大专以上人口的比例又反过来决定着人均GDP,这四组关系都是正反馈关系。我国每年以固定的速度提高教育经费占GDP的比例并不是高效率的策略,而在一定年份给予教育比较大的支持力度可能更适合我国教育和经济的发展模式。
[Abstract]:At present, most of the researches on the relationship between education and economy are based on theoretical discussion and logical speculation. Only a few empirical studies focus on the interactive relationship and interaction between the two, and lack the implementation way and principle of their interactive development. A quantitative study of deep-seated problems such as dynamics. The econometric analysis of the interaction between education and economy based on the theory and method of system dynamics is helpful to deepen the research on this issue. The quantitative model and verification of the interaction between education and economy constructed by the theory and method of system dynamics show that the per capita GDP determines the per capita education expenditure, and the per capita education expenditure determines the number of full-time teachers. The number of full-time teachers determines the proportion of the population over 6 years of age and the proportion of the population over 6 years of age. In turn, the proportion of the population over the age of 6 determines the per capita GDP. These four groups of relationships are all positive feedback relationships. It is not an efficient strategy to increase the proportion of education expenditure to GDP at a fixed speed in China every year, but it may be more suitable for the development mode of education and economy to give education more support in a certain year.
【作者单位】：西北工业大学经济研究中心陕西师范大学教育科学学院
【分类号】：G40-054

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