基于系统动力学的高校竞技人才培养研究

发布时间：2018-03-18 18:13

本文选题：系统动力学　切入点：人才培养　出处：《宁波大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文以系统动力学理论为支撑，旨在通过建立高校竞技体育人才培养的因果反馈和流程回路的思路，理顺高校竞技体育人才培养关键因素的相互关系，从整体调控入手达到高校竞技人才科学培养的目的，并以宁波大学乒乓球队管理为例，在调整相关变量对未来竞技人才培养系统的整体发展进行模拟仿真。并在仿真分析的基础上，对高校竞技人才培养进行具有探索性意义的未来发展分析，以及未来发展趋势做出科学性的研判，制定出具有指导意义的未来高校竞技人才培养的发展策略。从而梳理出一条科学的高校竞技人才培养发展路径，以及成功的实现高校竞技体育与竞技人才的协调发展，建立起适应社会主义市场经济体制的、充满发展“自组织”活力的高校竞技人才机制。本文通过文献资料法，专家访谈法，系统动力学方法，建立了高校竞技人才培养系统动力学模型，主要是由招生人数、毕业生人数、年报考人数、优秀运动员入学人数、在校优秀运动员人数、校资助经费、社会赞助经费、训练经费、运动水平、社会需求人数和就业环境构成的高校竞技人才培养环境的因果回路关系。其中就业环境是回路中的最主要因素，这一因素同时受到毕业生人数和社会需求人数的影响，毕业生人数受招生人数的影响，社会需求人数受运动水平的影响，运动水平是训练经费和在校优秀运动员人数共同作用的结果，训练经费受校资助经费和社会赞助经费的制约，在校优秀运动员人数受优秀运动员入学人数的影响，优秀运动员入学人数是年报考人数和招生人数共同作用的结果。本文以我校乒乓球运动员人才培养体系为实例，运用Vensim软件对模型进行系统动力学量化分析，来验证高校竞技人才培养模型的有效性和可靠性，并预测其未来发展趋势，最后通过调控招生率、报考人数年增长率、校资助增长率和社会赞助增长率来提出政策建议。系统动力学方法是定性与定量分析的有机统一，是研究非线性复杂系统问题的有效工具，非常适合高校竞技人培养环境体系的整体研究。从实际应用价值上看，该研究将人才培养置于社会大环境中，运用非线性分析工具研究人才培养环境的复杂系统问题，突破了传统人才培养仅以教育、教学为研究空间的局限，，使成果更具实用价值。
[Abstract]:Based on the theory of system dynamics, this paper aims to straighten out the relationship between the key factors of the cultivation of competitive sports talents in colleges and universities by establishing the thought of causal feedback and flow loop for the cultivation of competitive sports talents in colleges and universities. The goal of scientific cultivation of competitive talents in colleges and universities is achieved through overall regulation and control, and the management of table tennis team of Ningbo University is taken as an example. On the basis of adjusting the relevant variables to simulate the overall development of the future competitive talent training system, and on the basis of the simulation analysis, this paper makes an exploratory analysis of the future development of competitive talent training in colleges and universities. As well as the future development trend to make a scientific study, to formulate a guiding significance of the future competitive talent training development strategy, so as to sort out a scientific university competitive talent training development path, And successfully realize the coordinated development of competitive sports and competitive talents in colleges and universities, and establish a mechanism of competitive talents in colleges and universities which is full of self-organization vigor and adapts to the socialist market economy system. Based on the methods of literature, expert interview and system dynamics, this paper sets up a systematic dynamic model for the training of competitive talents in colleges and universities. The model is mainly composed of the number of students enrolled, the number of graduates, the number of applicants per year, and the number of excellent athletes enrolled in the university. The number of outstanding athletes in school, the fund of school subsidy, the fund of social sponsorship, the fund of training, the level of sports, The causal loop relationship between the number of people in social demand and the employment environment is the most important factor in the loop, which is influenced by both the number of graduates and the number of social demands. The number of graduates is affected by the number of students enrolled, the number of social demands is affected by the level of sports, the level of sports is the result of the joint action of training funds and the number of outstanding athletes in school, and the training funds are restricted by the funds of school financial aid and social sponsorship. The number of outstanding athletes in school is affected by the number of excellent athletes, and the number of excellent athletes is the result of the combined effect of the number of students enrolled in the examination and the number of students enrolled in each year. Taking the talent training system of table tennis players in our university as an example, this paper makes a quantitative analysis of the system dynamics of the model by using Vensim software to verify the validity and reliability of the model, and to predict its future development trend. Finally, the policy suggestions are put forward by regulating the enrollment rate, the annual growth rate of applicants, the growth rate of school financial assistance and the growth rate of social sponsorship. System dynamics method is an organic unity of qualitative and quantitative analysis, is an effective tool for studying nonlinear and complex system problems, and is very suitable for the overall study of the environmental system of competitive personnel training in colleges and universities. This study puts the talent training in the social environment, uses the nonlinear analysis tool to study the complex system problem of the talent training environment, breaks through the limitation that the traditional talent training only takes the education and the teaching as the research space, and makes the achievement more practical value.
【学位授予单位】：宁波大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：N941.3-4;G642

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