工业化与城镇化对能源强度的影响研究——基于新疆面板数据的FGLS和SYS-GMM的实证分析

发布时间：2018-01-21 23:54

本文关键词： 工业化城镇化能源强度动态面板新疆　出处：《生态经济》2017年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：工业化与城镇化是节能降耗的关键。文章利用2004—2013年新疆15个地州市面板数据,建立静态面板及动态面板模型,实证分析了工业化、城镇化对能源强度的影响。结果显示:(1)能源强度存在显著的累积效应与路径依赖,工业化水平提升有助于降低能源利用强度,在天山北部地区尤为显著;(2)城镇化进程中基础设施、交通运输的建设投入在短期内更多地体现为能源消耗规模迅速扩大,长期可能存在的集聚效应进而降低单位能耗的机制尚未发挥;(3)通过长期城镇化发展形成的集聚效应促进经济发展水平提升,进而降低能源强度的路径存在,且作用效果大于通过工业化发展促进经济水平提升进而降低能源强度这一路径。在此基础上,提出相应的建议。
[Abstract]:Industrialization and urbanization are the key to save energy and reduce consumption. This paper establishes the static panel and dynamic panel model by using the panel data of 15 prefectures and cities in Xinjiang from 2004 to 2013, and analyzes the industrialization empirically. The effect of urbanization on energy intensity. The results show that there is a significant cumulative effect and path dependence on energy intensity, and the improvement of industrialization level can help to reduce the energy use intensity, especially in northern Tianshan. 2) in the process of urbanization, the construction of infrastructure and transportation is reflected in the rapid expansion of the scale of energy consumption in the short term. The mechanism of the agglomeration effect which may exist for a long time and then reduce the unit energy consumption has not been brought into play. 3) the agglomeration effect formed by the long-term urbanization development promotes the level of economic development and then reduces the energy intensity. And the effect is greater than the path of promoting the economic level and reducing the energy intensity through the industrialization development. On the basis of this, the corresponding suggestions are put forward.
【作者单位】：新疆财经大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“基于包容性发展的新疆城镇化质量测度与提升路径研究”(13CGL147) 教育部人文社会科学新疆项目“资源环境约束与生态脆弱区产业升级路径研究——以新疆化工产业为例”(11XJJC790003)
【分类号】：F299.27;F427
【正文快照】： 1引言工业化和城镇化作为经济发展的“双引擎”不断推动着中国产业结构和空间格局优化,引领着中国经济社会的现代化进程。然而,伴随着工业化与城镇化进程,高产业耗能、高生活耗能、高公共耗能所导致的“附带效应”日趋加剧,以高效、和谐、持续为目标的绿色发展理念应运而生。

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