禁烧政策真的有效吗——基于农户与政府秸秆露天焚烧问题的演化博弈分析

发布时间：2018-03-28 11:14

本文选题：秸秆露天焚烧　切入点：禁烧政策　出处：《农业技术经济》2017年10期

【摘要】：本文针对政府实施禁烧政策但秸秆露天焚烧仍屡禁不止的问题,基于有限理性的假设,建立农户与政府的演化博弈模型,求解演化稳定策略并分析不同参数变量情形下农户与政府决策行为的动态调整过程。研究发现,在该博弈中,秸秆露天焚烧的净收益、秸秆综合利用的净收益、秸秆露天焚烧罚款、政府实施禁烧政策成本对动态演化有重要影响,其中秸秆露天焚烧的净收益与综合利用的净收益影响作用最大。进一步的,由于当前单纯以强制禁烧为目的的禁烧政策缺乏政策弹性,且未能有效影响秸秆露天焚烧的净收益与综合利用的净收益变量,故本文建议各级政府在实施禁烧政策的同时,需更加注重引导和落实宣传教育、补贴与秸秆综合利用技术及服务支持的相关政策。
[Abstract]:In order to solve the problem that the government implements the policy of banning burning, but the straw burning is still forbidden repeatedly, based on the hypothesis of limited rationality, the evolutionary game model between farmers and government is established in this paper. Solving the evolutionary stabilization strategy and analyzing the dynamic adjustment process of the decision-making behavior of farmers and the government under different parameter variables. The study found that in this game, the net income of straw burning in open air, and the net income of straw comprehensive utilization, are found in the game. The penalty of open burning of straw and the cost of the policy of banning burning by the government have important influence on the dynamic evolution, among which the net income of open burning of straw and the net income of comprehensive utilization are the most important. Due to the lack of policy flexibility of the current policy of banning burning solely for the purpose of compulsory prohibition of burning, and the failure to effectively affect the net income of straw burning in open air and the variables of net income of comprehensive utilization, this paper suggests that governments at all levels should implement the policy of banning burning at the same time. More attention should be paid to guiding and implementing the relevant policies of propaganda and education, subsidies and comprehensive utilization of straw technology and services.
【作者单位】：华南理工大学经济与贸易学院;
【基金】：广州市人文社会科学重点研究基地“广州国家创新型城市发展研究中心”对本文的资助
【分类号】：F224.32;X32

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