湖南省物流业全要素生产率测度及其影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-06-21 01:38

本文选题：物流业 + 技术进步　；参考：《湘潭大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：伴随着经济全球化的持续推进和我国市场经济的日益成熟,作为国民基础性支柱产业,我国物流业发展的水平和质量高低已经成为权衡经济实力和核心竞争力的重要指标。湖南省作为我国中部大省,近年来该省经济实力的不断增强,使其物流业得到了迅猛发展。尤其在整个国家面临着产业结构调整和转型升级的经济“新常态”时期,湖南省物流业迎来了前所未有的发展机会,作为承接南北、贯穿东西的中部枢纽,湖南省的物流市场潜力和发展前景不可估量。全要素生产率,通常被学者们用来探索经济增长的源泉,其作为评价经济增长效果和质量高低的重要手段,为国家走可持续发展道路和制定相关政策提供了重要依据。本文从全要素生产率角度出发研究近年来湖南省物流业的发展情况,对于发现产业发展过程中的潜在问题,制定解决方案,推动湖南省物流业朝着可持续化发展有重大意义。本文利用D-M指数法测算了2004-2014年间湖南省物流业全要素生产率(TFP)的变动情况,并将全要素增长率指数(TFPG)分解为技术效率变化指数(TE)和技术进步指数(TP),结果发现:十年间湖南省物流业全要素生产率平均增长了11.8%,其增长主要得益于物流技术进步;而物流技术效率的逐年降低间接阻碍了湖南省物流业全要素生产率的增长,主要原因在于物流资源的有效利用程度不足,以至于有限的物流资源不能“得其所,尽其用”。另外,本文将湖南省与浙江省、全国30省市平均水平的全要素生产率的增长情况进行了比较分析,发现了湖南省物流业全要素生产率变化波动明显比浙江省平稳。为了从技术效率角度探究湖南省物流业全要素生产率的影响因素,作者以本省13个市州8年的面板数据为基础,运用SFA方法构建了实证模型并展开实证研究。从实证结果看,信息化程度、人力资本和外商直接投资与湖南省物流技术效率有明显的正相关关系,而政府干预则对本省物流技术效率有显著负面影响。其中,区域信息化程度每提高1%,湖南省物流技术效率则相应提高0.0009%,信息化主要通过构建物流信息平台有效整合物流资源和提供信息及技术服务来实现物流业TFP的提升;人力资本质量每增加1%,物流技术效率相应增加1.38%,本文认为是物流从业人员专业素质和物流服务水准提高拉升了人力资本水平,进而促进物流业TFP提升;外资利用率每增加1%,物流技术效率增加21.78%,从数据看其促进效果十分明显,由于外商直接投资提升了地区的对外开放程度,为产业发展带来了国外先进技术和管理经验,从而提升了湖南省物流业TFP;政府干预程度每增加1%,湖南省物流业TE则相应下降约16.45%,原因在于政府过度干预降低了物流市场活跃程度,同时现有的条块分割等物流管理体制问题也制约了湖南省物流业的有效运行。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of economic globalization and the maturation of our market economy, the development level and quality of logistics industry in China, as the basic pillar industry of China, has become an important index to weigh the economic strength and core competitiveness. Hunan Province, as a big province in the central part of China, has been developing rapidly because of the increasing economic strength of the province in recent years. Especially in the period of "new normal" of the economy facing the adjustment of industrial structure and the transformation and upgrading of the whole country, the logistics industry in Hunan Province has ushered in an unprecedented opportunity for development, as a hub in the central region to undertake the north-south, running through the east and the west. Hunan Province's logistics market potential and development prospects are inestimable. Total factor productivity (TFP) is usually used by scholars to explore the source of economic growth. As an important means to evaluate the effect and quality of economic growth, TFP provides an important basis for the country to take the road of sustainable development and to formulate relevant policies. This paper studies the development of logistics industry in Hunan Province in recent years from the angle of total factor productivity. It is of great significance to discover the potential problems in the process of industrial development, formulate solutions and promote the sustainable development of logistics industry in Hunan Province. This paper uses D-M index method to measure the change of total factor productivity (TFP) of logistics industry in Hunan Province during 2004-2014. The total factor growth rate index (TFPG) is decomposed into the technical efficiency change index (TFPG) and the technological progress index (TFPG). The results show that the total factor productivity of logistics industry in Hunan Province has increased by 11.8g in the past ten years, and the increase is mainly due to the technological progress of logistics. The decrease of logistics technical efficiency indirectly hinders the growth of the total factor productivity of logistics industry in Hunan Province. The main reason is that the degree of effective utilization of logistics resources is insufficient, so that limited logistics resources can not be "used as much as possible". In addition, this paper compares the growth of total factor productivity (TFP) between Hunan province and Zhejiang province and 30 provinces and cities in China. It is found that the fluctuation of total factor productivity of logistics industry in Hunan Province is more stable than that in Zhejiang province. In order to explore the influencing factors of total factor productivity of logistics industry in Hunan Province from the point of view of technical efficiency, based on the panel data of 13 cities and states in Hunan Province for 8 years, the author constructed an empirical model by using SFA method and carried out an empirical study. From the empirical results, the degree of informatization, human capital and foreign direct investment have obvious positive correlation with logistics technical efficiency of Hunan Province, while government intervention has a significant negative impact on the efficiency of logistics technology in Hunan Province. The efficiency of logistics technology in Hunan Province is increased by 0.0009 for each improvement of the degree of regional informatization. Informationization mainly realizes the promotion of TFP of logistics industry by constructing logistics information platform to effectively integrate logistics resources and provide information and technical services. With the increase of the quality of human capital, the efficiency of logistics technology increases by 1.38. The author thinks that it is the professional quality of logistics practitioners and the level of logistics service that raise the level of human capital, and then promote the TFP of logistics industry. With each increase in the utilization rate of foreign capital, the efficiency of logistics technology increases by 21.78. From the data, the promotion effect is very obvious. Because foreign direct investment has promoted the opening up of the region, it has brought advanced foreign technology and management experience to the industrial development. As a result, the logistics industry TFPin of Hunan Province has been promoted. For every increase in the degree of government intervention, the te of Hunan logistics industry is correspondingly reduced by 16.45%, the reason being that excessive government intervention reduces the level of logistics market activity. At the same time, the existing logistics management system, such as segmentation, also restricts the effective operation of Hunan logistics industry.
【学位授予单位】：湘潭大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F259.27

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