科技创新对新型城镇化的影响——基于面板门槛模型的实证分析

发布时间：2018-07-08 15:06

本文选题：科技创新 + 新型城镇化　；参考：《城市问题》2017年06期

【摘要】：基于新型城镇化的内涵,从经济、社会和环境三个维度甄选了20个指标,采用改进熵值法综合评价了中国30个省域的新型城镇化水平,并分别以科技创新水平和时间为门槛变量,构建了面板门槛模型,系统考察了中国科技创新对新型城镇化的影响。结果显示:样本期内中国新型城镇化水平呈波动上升趋势,且具有沿海、内陆和沿边地区梯度递减的空间格局特征;科技创新对新型城镇化的影响显著存在基于科技创新水平和时间的正向双门槛效应,即科技创新对新型城镇化的正效应会随科技创新水平提高和时间推移而逐步减弱。据此认为,应加快推进城镇化发展模式从"要素驱动"向"创新驱动"转变,鼓励各地实施差异化的科技创新政策,以推动新型城镇化的健康发展。
[Abstract]:Based on the connotation of the new urbanization, 20 indexes are selected from three dimensions of economy, society and environment. The new urbanization level of 30 provinces in China is evaluated by the improved entropy method, and the panel threshold model is constructed with the level of scientific and technological innovation and time as a threshold variable. The new town is systematically investigated by Chinese scientific and technological innovation. The results show that the new urbanization level in China is fluctuating in the sample period, and has the spatial pattern characteristics of the gradient decreasing in the coastal, inland and border areas, and the influence of scientific and technological innovation on the new urbanization has a positive double threshold effect based on the level of scientific and technological innovation and time, that is, the innovation of science and technology on the new town The positive effect will gradually weaken with the level of technological innovation and time. Accordingly, it is believed that the urbanization development model should be accelerated from "factor driven" to "innovation driven", and that different scientific and technological innovation policies should be implemented to promote the healthy development of the new urbanization.
【作者单位】：重庆大学经济与工商管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(11&ZD141)
【分类号】：F124.3;F299.21

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