人口老龄化对公共养老金制度的影响
发布时间：2018-11-10 20:51
【摘要】：基于内生人力资本假设,构建公共养老金支出模型,探讨宏观经济因素和人口因素对公共养老金支出的影响,进而运用1996~2015年我国面板数据对养老金支出变化进行实证检验。有效退休年龄延长和总和生育率上升将减少与年龄有关的养老金支出可持续性。尽管较高的养老金净替代率会减轻老年贫困风险,但是会进一步增加公共养老金财务可持续压力。延长有效退休年龄、提高总和生育率和大力发展多支柱养老保障制度是老龄社会改善公共养老保险财务可持续压力的重要途径。
[Abstract]:Based on the assumption of endogenous human capital, this paper constructs a public pension expenditure model, probes into the influence of macroeconomic and demographic factors on public pension expenditure, and then makes an empirical test on the change of pension expenditure by using panel data from 1996 to 2015 in China. An increase in the effective retirement age and an increase in the total fertility rate will reduce the sustainability of age-related pension spending. While a higher net pension replacement rate would reduce the risk of old age poverty, it would further increase the financial sustainability of public pensions. Prolonging the effective retirement age, increasing the total fertility rate and vigorously developing the multi-pillar old-age security system are the important ways for the aging society to improve the financial sustainability of public pension insurance.
【作者单位】： 黑龙江大学经济与工商管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“生育率下降与预期寿命延长双重约束下养老保险制度可持续性研究”(编号:16BRK016) 教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目“人口老龄化和城市化双重约束下养老保险体系可持续性研究”(编号:15YJC840037)
【分类号】：C924.24;F842.67
本文编号：2323581
[Abstract]:Based on the assumption of endogenous human capital, this paper constructs a public pension expenditure model, probes into the influence of macroeconomic and demographic factors on public pension expenditure, and then makes an empirical test on the change of pension expenditure by using panel data from 1996 to 2015 in China. An increase in the effective retirement age and an increase in the total fertility rate will reduce the sustainability of age-related pension spending. While a higher net pension replacement rate would reduce the risk of old age poverty, it would further increase the financial sustainability of public pensions. Prolonging the effective retirement age, increasing the total fertility rate and vigorously developing the multi-pillar old-age security system are the important ways for the aging society to improve the financial sustainability of public pension insurance.
【作者单位】： 黑龙江大学经济与工商管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“生育率下降与预期寿命延长双重约束下养老保险制度可持续性研究”(编号:16BRK016) 教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目“人口老龄化和城市化双重约束下养老保险体系可持续性研究”(编号:15YJC840037)
【分类号】：C924.24;F842.67
【相似文献】
相关硕士学位论文 前1条
1 吴雪;老龄化背景下日本公共养老金制度信用危机问题研究[D];陕西师范大学;2014年
，本文编号：2323581
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/bxjjlw/2323581.html
