北京市地铁13号线对土地利用影响的定量研究

发布时间：2018-04-22 00:05

本文选题：轨道交通 + 土地利用　；参考：《河北师范大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国社会经济的急剧稳步前进和城市化进程的日益加剧，城市空间布局的演化过程与城市道路交通建设是分不开的、总是交织在一起。在近代城市成长的过程当中，作为城市系统中的一个重要子系统，城市轨道交通以其便捷、高效、环保的特征贯穿于城市发展过程的每个阶段。随着我国城市化进程的高速发展，道路交通拥堵问题日益严重，而发展以轨道交通为主要力量的城市公共交通系统是解决城市交通问题的关键所在。据有关专家预测，我国的轨道交通在未来的十年将推动房地产业快速发展。城市轨道交通凭借其通达性及其对站点周边房地产楼盘的刺激影响，为城市房地产带来了增值效应。因此，轨道交通对城市土地利用影响的研究变得愈来愈举足轻重。本文通过分析近年来国内外学者关于轨道交通研究理论的情况，以轨道交通与城市土地利用的基本相关理论为依托，以ArcGIS与相关地统计方法为工具，基于上述条件，选取了北京市地铁13号线为研究对象，确定了该文章的研究目标为轨道交通系统对城市土地利用影响的定量研究。从轨道交通系统具有的特点出发，借鉴国内外学者的研究经验，对分市场进行了大致划分，初步探讨了轨道交通对沿线房地产价格以及土地开发强度的影响。经过初期理论研究表明，，轨道交通的建设并投入使用对城市土地利用存在积极的影响，加速了轨道交通沿线土地的开发与利用，提升了轨道交通沿线站点周边的房地产价格，促进了城市空间布局形态更加合理化。然则，在分市场效应的作用下，不同位置上的轨道交通对不同类型房地产价格的影响水平与方式存在差异，即轨道交通对于郊区物业价格的增幅要大于中心城区的物业。依据土地级差地租理论、竞租理论以及其他有关应用理论，构建轨道交通与沿线楼盘的半对数特征价格模型，从空间和时间两个角度对轨道周边的房地产价格进行定量探究，以便于验证分市场效应对轨道交通的作用。因此，选取北京地铁13号线为研究对象，并根据房地产价格影响因素选取自变量，分别从房地产价格、土地开发强度两个角度进行轨道交通对城市土地利用影响的定量性实证研究。对北京地铁13号线的实证研究表明，以地铁13号线站点为圆心，1km为半径的圆内，房地产价格要比1km以外高出20%，而这种效应的作用在郊区显著于中心城区，地铁13号线对中心城区的影响微乎其微。从轨道交通对城市土地利用的时间效应出发，地铁13号线建设初期对沿线的房地产价格影响具有明显的负效应；伴随着城市交通基础设施的日益完善，地铁13号线的影响变成正效应；地铁13号线在投入运营两年后对郊区房地产价格的影响逐渐减弱、不再具有明显经济效益。轨道交通对城市土地开发强度的影响体现在如下两方面：一方面，地铁13号线刺激了土地利用向北部郊区扩展开发的格局；另一方面，地铁13号线部分位于郊区的站点，其周边的房地产容积率呈现明显的圈层结构。本论文虽然是以北京作为具体实证对象，但研究的成果理论对众多轨道交通发达的城市来说都具有很强的普适性。作为城市路网体系中的一个重要组成部分，城市轨道交通完成了大规模人流、物流的互换和传递，改进了路网的通达性，使得居民出行变得越来越便利，减缓了城区巨大的人口压力，能够促进社会经济的发展，提高城市的繁荣。对城市轨道交通与土地利用进行科学合理的统一规划，能够使城市空间优化布局，提高土地利用率，使轨道交通对沿线房地产价格带来的升值空间产生的经济效益转化为轨道交通建设过程中的投入成本，以此提升城市规模，实现土地利用与轨道交通的和谐发展。
[Abstract]:With the rapid and steady progress of China's social economy and the intensification of urbanization, the evolution process of urban spatial layout is inseparable from urban road traffic construction, and always intertwined. In the process of modern urban growth, as a key subsystem in the urban system, urban rail transit is convenient and efficient. The characteristics of environmental protection run through every stage of the process of urban development. With the rapid development of the process of urbanization in China, the problem of road traffic congestion is becoming more and more serious, and the key to solve urban traffic problems is to develop urban public transportation system with the main force of rail traffic. According to the experts, it is predicted that China's rail traffic is in the future. The ten years will promote the rapid development of the real estate industry. Urban rail transit has brought value-added effect to urban real estate with its accessibility and its impact on the real estate property around the site. Therefore, the research on the impact of rail transit on urban land use has become more and more serious.
Based on the basic related theory of rail traffic and urban land use, this paper, based on the basic related theory of rail traffic and urban land use, takes the ArcGIS and the related statistical methods as the tool, and based on the above conditions, selects the Metro Line 13 of Beijing city as the research object, and determines the research goal of this article. Quantitative study on the impact of road traffic system on urban land use.
On the basis of the characteristics of the rail transit system and using the experience of scholars at home and abroad, the paper roughly divides the sub market and preliminarily discusses the influence of rail transit on the real estate price and the intensity of land development along the line. After the initial theoretical study, it is shown that the construction and use of rail traffic is positive for urban land use. The influence has accelerated the development and utilization of the land along the rail transit, promoted the real estate prices around the rail transit sites, and promoted the more rational layout of the urban space. However, under the effect of the sub market effect, the influence level and way of the rail traffic on different types of real estate prices in different positions The difference is that the growth of rail transit for rural property prices is greater than that of the central urban area.
According to the theory of land differential rent, renting theory and other relevant application theories, the semi logarithmic characteristic price model of rail traffic and real estate along the line is constructed, and the real estate prices around the orbit are quantitatively explored from two angles of space and time, so as to verify the effect of the sub Market effect on the track traffic. Therefore, the Beijing land is selected. The iron 13 line is the research object, and the independent variable is selected according to the influence factors of real estate price, and the quantitative empirical study on the impact of rail traffic on urban land use is carried out from two angles of real estate price and land development intensity.
The empirical study of Beijing Metro Line 13 shows that the real estate price is 20% higher than that of 1km outside the center of the Metro Line 13 station and the 1km is a radius of the circle. The effect of this effect is significant in the suburb of the central city, and the subway line 13 has little influence on the central urban area. Starting, the initial construction of Metro Line 13 has a significant negative effect on the real estate prices along the line. Along with the increasing improvement of urban traffic infrastructure, the influence of Metro Line 13 becomes positive effect, and the subway 13 line has gradually weakened to the suburban real estate price after two years of operation and no longer has obvious economic benefits. The impact of rail transit on the intensity of urban land development is reflected in the following two aspects: on the one hand, Metro Line 13 stimulates the pattern of land use to expand the development of the northern suburb; on the other hand, the Metro Line 13 is located on the outskirts of the suburb, and the real estate volume rate in the surrounding area shows a distinct circle structure.
Although this thesis takes Beijing as a concrete demonstration object, the research results theory has a strong universality for many cities with developed rail transit. As an important part of the urban road network system, the urban rail transit has completed the large-scale flow of people, the exchange and transmission of the material flow, and improved the accessibility of the road network. It makes the residents travel more and more convenient, slow down the huge population pressure in the urban area, can promote the development of the society and economy, and improve the prosperity of the city. The rational and rational unified planning of urban rail transit and land use can make the urban space optimize the layout, improve the land use rate, and make the rail transit to the real estate price along the line. The economic benefit generated by the appreciation space is transformed into the input cost in the course of the construction of the rail transit, so as to improve the scale of the city and realize the harmonious development of the land use and the rail transit.

【学位授予单位】：河北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：U231;F301.2

【参考文献】