生产性服务业集聚对城镇化的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-08 06:18

本文关键词：生产性服务业集聚对城镇化的影响研究　出处：《重庆大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,中国城镇化进入快速发展阶段,人口和经济城镇化水平显著提升。然而,受传统工业化发展的影响,我国城镇化进程中存在着明显的城市发展模式粗放、人口集聚能力不足、经济运行效率不高等问题,严重制约了产业调整升级和城市持续健康发展。生产性服务业具有高附加值、高就业弹性及知识技术密集等特点,发展生产性服务业集聚既有利于提高城镇人口比重,同时也能大大优化城市产业结构,提高经济运行效率和综合发展水平。因此,将进生产性服务业集聚作为推动城镇化纵深发展的动力机制具有深远意义。本文通过理论机制构建与空间计量分析,从理论和实证两个方面研究了生产性服务业集聚对城镇化的影响。一是,生产性服务业集聚对城镇化影响的理论机制构建。通过借鉴Hotelling的线性经济模型,拓展了空间经济学中关于城市体系的探讨,分别建立了依托制造业集聚的生产性服务业集聚及单纯生产性服务业集聚对城镇化的作用机制;二是,实证测度分析了我国区域生产性服务业集聚与城镇化的水平及差异,并基于中国30个省份2004-2012年的省级面板数据,运用空间计量经济分析方法,研究了生产性服务业集聚对城镇化的影响。研究表明:①生产性服务业集聚水平提升能够通过促进城镇人口增加和经济效率改善,推动人口城镇化和经济城镇化双重发展。理论研究表明,随着生产性服务业集聚发展,城市规模将不断扩大并推动新城市中心的形成。在此基础上,基于空间计量的实证检验结果也表明,无论是在二进制矩阵还是经济发展水平矩阵模型中,生产性服务业集聚水平提升均对人口和经济城镇化具有双重优化作用;②生产性服务业集聚与工业化匹配较为合理,而与对外开放水平和财政支出水平的匹配性则有待进一步提高;③人口与经济城镇化的影响因素有所差异,推动城镇化进程应考虑区域发展的个体性与阶段性。在人口城镇化模型中,经济发展水平、交通基础设施、对外开放水平、教育文化水平等控制变量均对城镇化具有显著正效应,工业化水平对其具有显著负效应;在经济城镇化模型中,经济发展水平、交通基础设施、非国有单位就业人口、固定资产形成、财政支出水平对城镇化具有显著正效应,工业化水平和科技水平对其具有显著负效应。最后,根据研究结论及我国城镇化发展实际,简要提出了四点生产性服务业集聚促进城镇化发展的对策建议,并对未来研究方向进行了展望。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's urbanization has entered a stage of rapid development, the level of population and economic urbanization has improved significantly. However, it is affected by the development of traditional industrialization. In the process of urbanization in China, there are some problems, such as extensive urban development model, insufficient capacity of population agglomeration and low efficiency of economic operation. Industrial adjustment and upgrading and sustainable and healthy development of cities are seriously restricted. Producer services have the characteristics of high added value, high employment elasticity and intensive knowledge and technology. The development of producer services agglomeration is not only conducive to increasing the proportion of urban population, but also can greatly optimize the urban industrial structure, improve the efficiency of economic operation and the level of comprehensive development. It is of far-reaching significance to take the agglomeration of producer services as the motive mechanism to promote the further development of urbanization. This paper is based on the theoretical mechanism construction and spatial econometric analysis. This paper studies the impact of producer services agglomeration on urbanization from both theoretical and empirical aspects. The theoretical mechanism of producer service agglomeration on urbanization is constructed. By using the linear economic model of Hotelling, the discussion on urban system in spatial economics is expanded. The mechanism of producer service agglomeration relying on manufacturing agglomeration and the effect of pure producer service agglomeration on urbanization are established respectively. Secondly, the paper analyzes the level and difference of regional producer services agglomeration and urbanization in China, and based on the provincial panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2004 to 2012. The effect of producer service agglomeration on urbanization is studied by means of spatial econometric analysis. The research shows that the promotion of producer service agglomeration level can promote urban population growth and economic efficiency improvement. Promote the dual development of population urbanization and economic urbanization. Theoretical research shows that with the development of producer services, urban scale will continue to expand and promote the formation of the city center. On this basis. The empirical results based on spatial measurement also show that, whether in the binary matrix or the level of economic development matrix model. The agglomeration level of producer services has a dual optimization effect on population and economic urbanization. (2) the matching between producer services agglomeration and industrialization is more reasonable, but the matching with the level of opening to the outside world and the level of fiscal expenditure needs to be further improved; (3) the influence factors of population and economic urbanization are different. In the model of population urbanization, the level of economic development and transportation infrastructure should be taken into account in the process of urbanization. The control variables such as the level of opening to the outside world and the level of education and culture have significant positive effects on urbanization, while the level of industrialization has a significant negative effect on urbanization. In the economic urbanization model, the economic development level, the transportation infrastructure, the non-state-owned unit employment population, the fixed assets formation, the financial expenditure level has the remarkable positive effect to the urbanization. Industrialization level and scientific and technological level have a significant negative effect on it. Finally, according to the conclusions of the research and the actual development of urbanization in China, this paper briefly puts forward four countermeasures and suggestions of producer services agglomeration to promote the urbanization development. The future research direction is prospected.
【学位授予单位】：重庆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F719;F299.21

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