中国城镇化与第三产业发展关系研究

发布时间：2018-02-05 17:03

本文关键词： 城镇化第三产业产业结构调整灰色分析方法　出处：《山东财经大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：我国第三产业发展正处于加速阶段，第三产业中的服务业与流通业的产值与就业吸纳能力逐年稳步上升，第三产业占整体经济比重已超过第二产业成为国民生产总值中的首要产业部门。在现阶段，我国第三产业已经成为城镇化进程的重要动力之一，为了使我国城镇化能够顺利进行，农业富余劳动力能够稳妥的向非农产业转移，有必要对城镇化与第三产业之间的关系进行深入研究，探索现阶段我国城镇化进程中的主要推动力与城镇化过程对第三产业的影响，并试图从两者的关系中找到使城镇化与第三产业良性互动的方法。本文在综合前人理论的基础上，首先分析了我国的城镇化与我国的第三产业各自的特点，具体观察我国城镇化与工业化的关系，并找到第三产业中处于主要地位的行业。之后，结合我国城镇化与第三产业特点，通过计量分析，应用灰色统计理论，研究城镇化与第三产业间的相互影响关系，对影响城镇化的各因素的大小进行排序，揭示改革开放后第三产业对城镇化的影响地位变化，分析城镇化进程对第三产业的影响。最后，结合我国第三产业与城镇化特点，，提出我国城镇化进程中存在的问题以及相对应的政策建议。分析结果表明，第三产业已经超过第二产业成为我国城镇化进程的主要推动力，第三产业对城镇化的推动力从改革开放后提升明显，第三产业中的传统服务业与新兴服务业的推动力要高于第三产业中的流通行业，城镇化对第三产业的促进作用存在一定的滞后性。
[Abstract]:The development of tertiary industry in China is in the accelerating stage. The output value and employment absorption ability of service industry and circulation industry in the tertiary industry are rising steadily year by year. The proportion of tertiary industry in the overall economy has surpassed that of the secondary industry, which has become the primary industrial sector in the gross national product. At the present stage, the tertiary industry has become an important driving force in the process of urbanization. In order to make the urbanization of our country carry on smoothly, the surplus labor force of agriculture can transfer steadily to the non-agricultural industry, it is necessary to study the relationship between urbanization and the tertiary industry in depth. This paper probes into the main driving force in the process of urbanization and the influence of urbanization on the tertiary industry at the present stage, and tries to find a way to make the urbanization interact with the tertiary industry in the light of the relationship between the two. Based on the previous theories, this paper first analyzes the characteristics of urbanization and tertiary industry in China, and observes the relationship between urbanization and industrialization. After that, combining the characteristics of urbanization and tertiary industry in our country, through econometric analysis, the grey statistical theory is applied. This paper studies the interaction between urbanization and tertiary industry, sorts the factors that affect urbanization, and reveals the change of the influence status of tertiary industry on urbanization after reform and opening up. Finally, according to the characteristics of China's tertiary industry and urbanization, the problems in the process of urbanization and the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward. The tertiary industry has surpassed the secondary industry to become the main driving force of the urbanization process in our country, and the impetus of the tertiary industry to urbanization has been obviously improved from the reform and opening up to the outside world. The driving force of the traditional service industry and the emerging service industry in the tertiary industry is higher than that of the circulation industry in the tertiary industry, and urbanization has a certain lag in promoting the tertiary industry.
【学位授予单位】：山东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F299.2;F719;F224

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