武汉现代服务业竞争力研究

发布时间：2018-02-10 07:21

本文关键词： 现代服务业竞争力 SSA模型灰色理论　出处：《武汉理工大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着社会经济的发展,全球经济结构已逐步由工业经济向服务业经济转变,现代服务业的发展成为现代经济的一个重要特征,其竞争力直接影响到一个城市整体经济的发展。武汉现代服务业在近年来虽然取得了很大的进步,但和全国其他现代服务业发展较快的城市相比仍然存在很多问题,特别是竞争力方面。对武汉现代服务业竞争力的研究将有助于了解该城市的经济特性及其现代服务业的内部行业结构,明确武汉现代服务业发展的优势和劣势,突出现代服务业的重点发展领域。本文以武汉现代服务业竞争力为研究对象,在对国内外有关现代服务业概念、理论、分类、研究内容、研究方法等进行归纳总结基础上,界定本文对于现代服务业的定义和分类。首先采用时间序列法将武汉现代服务业的发展分为了四个阶段：准备阶段(1978-1989年)、成长阶段(1990-1997年)、快速增长阶段(1998-2003年)、健康发展阶段(2004-2011),并对武汉现代服务业的发展进行比较分析,结果表明武汉现代服务业在现代服务业增长率、现代服务业增加值占GDP比重、现代服务业从业人员数比重都呈上升趋势,武汉市三产结构在不断优化,现代服务业成为推动武汉市经济发展的动力源泉；用SWOT方法分析了武汉发展现代服务业的优势、劣势、机会和威胁；其次,为了能够对武汉现代服务业竞争力有更好的认识,采用GM(1,1)模型对武汉现代服务业经济增量预测,从而从侧面反映武汉现代服务业的竞争力发展空间,预测表明武汉现代服务业在未来几年将保持快速增长的趋势,预计整个“十二五”期间现代服务业经济增加值将以13.8%的增长速度增长,到2015年武汉市现代服务业经济增加值将达5159.9398亿元,这有利于把握未来武汉现代服务业的发展空间和城市投资规划;再次,运用SSA模型对武汉现代服务业行业竞争力进行分析,并将武汉放在全国19个重点城市(4个直辖市和15个副省级城市)范围内进行整体竞争力分析,研究结果表明武汉现代服务业中朝阳的、增长快的产业部门比重大,总体的竞争能力较强,且有上升的趋势,但武汉现代服务业行业特别是高技术、高信息化产业所占的经济增长份额小,应对其内部行业结构进行调整,加大现代服务业行业在第三产业、在整过国民经济中的经济增长份额和投资力度。最后提出了提升武汉现代服务业竞争力的对策和建议。
[Abstract]:With the development of social economy, the global economic structure has gradually changed from industrial economy to service economy, and the development of modern service industry has become an important feature of modern economy. Although Wuhan modern service industry has made great progress in recent years, it still has many problems compared with other cities with rapid development of modern service industry in China. The research on the competitiveness of Wuhan's modern service industry will be helpful to understand the economic characteristics of the city and the internal structure of the modern service industry, and to clarify the advantages and disadvantages of the development of Wuhan's modern service industry. Highlight the key areas of development of the modern service industry. This paper takes Wuhan modern service industry competitiveness as the research object, on the basis of summarizing the concept, theory, classification, research content, research method of modern service industry at home and abroad. This paper defines the definition and classification of modern service industry in this paper. Firstly, the development of modern service industry in Wuhan is divided into four stages by using the time series method: preparatory stage 1978-1989, growth stage 1990-1997, rapid growth stage 1998-2003, healthy stage. A comparative analysis of the development of the modern service industry in Wuhan, The results show that the growth rate of modern service industry in Wuhan, the proportion of added value of modern service industry to GDP, the proportion of employees of modern service industry are all on the rise, and the structure of three industries in Wuhan is continuously optimized. The modern service industry has become the motive source to promote the economic development of Wuhan. The advantages, disadvantages, opportunities and threats of Wuhan's development of modern service industry are analyzed by SWOT method. Secondly, in order to have a better understanding of the competitiveness of Wuhan's modern service industry, This paper forecasts the economic increment of modern service industry in Wuhan by using GMX 1 / 1) model, so as to reflect the development space of competitiveness of modern service industry in Wuhan. The forecast indicates that the modern service industry in Wuhan will maintain the trend of rapid growth in the next few years. It is expected that the economic added value of modern service industry will increase at a rate of 13.8% during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. By 2015, the added value of modern service economy in Wuhan will reach five hundred and fifteen billion nine hundred and ninety-three million nine hundred and eighty thousand yuan. This will help to grasp the future Wuhan modern service industry development space and urban investment planning. Thirdly, using SSA model to analyze the competitiveness of Wuhan modern service industry. And put Wuhan in the scope of 19 key cities (4 municipalities directly under the Central Government and 15 sub-provincial cities) to analyze the overall competitiveness of Wuhan. The results show that the rising and fast growing industrial sectors in the modern service industry of Wuhan have a large proportion. The overall competitive power is strong, and there is an upward trend, but Wuhan's modern service industry, especially high-tech, has a small share of economic growth, and its internal industry structure should be adjusted. This paper increases the share of economic growth and investment of modern service industry in the tertiary industry and the whole national economy. Finally, it puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions to enhance the competitiveness of modern service industry in Wuhan.
【学位授予单位】：武汉理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F719

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