财政支出、空间溢出效应与服务业增长——基于中心城市数据的空间杜宾模型分析

发布时间：2018-03-01 18:20

本文关键词： 财政支出财政竞争服务业增长空间溢出效应空间杜宾模型　出处：《上海财经大学学报》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：中国目前中心城市服务业发展滞后问题比较突出,而地方财政支出不仅通过直接和间接机制影响本地服务业增长,还通过空间溢出效应影响邻近地区服务业增长。文章利用中心城市层面面板数据,运用空间杜宾模型实证检验了地方财政支出的本地服务业增长效应和对邻近城市服务业增长的空间溢出效应。结果显示:财政总支出、教育支出、科技支出和公共交通支出对本地服务业增长都产生正效应,而对其他城市服务业增长的空间溢出效应存在显著差异,财政总支出和教育支出的空间溢出效应为正,科技支出和公共交通支出的空间溢出效应为负;分地区的研究发现,从促进服务业全局发展角度,东部城市应加大科技支出,中部城市应优先完善基础设施,西部城市应首要增加教育支出。总之,为了实现我国服务业的整体发展、优化布局,需要在中心城市层面完善支持服务业发展的财政支出政策,动态优化财政支出结构,并健全财政转移支付制度和区域财政政策协调机制。
[Abstract]:At present, the development of service industry in central cities in China is lagging behind. However, local financial expenditure not only affects the growth of local service industries through direct and indirect mechanisms, The spatial spillover effect is also used to influence the growth of service industry in neighboring regions. The spatial Doberman model is used to test the effect of local financial expenditure on the growth of local service industry and the spatial spillover effect on the growth of service industry in neighboring cities. Both science and technology expenditure and public transportation expenditure have positive effects on the growth of local service industry, while there are significant differences in spatial spillover effects on the growth of other urban service industries, and the spatial spillover effects of total fiscal expenditure and education expenditure are positive. The spatial spillover effect of science and technology expenditure and public transportation expenditure is negative, and the regional research shows that in order to promote the overall development of the service industry, the eastern cities should increase the expenditure on science and technology, and the central cities should give priority to the improvement of infrastructure. In short, in order to achieve the overall development of our service industry and optimize the layout, we need to improve the fiscal expenditure policy to support the development of the service industry at the central city level, and dynamically optimize the structure of the financial expenditure. And improve the fiscal transfer payment system and regional fiscal policy coordination mechanism.
【作者单位】：上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院;郑州轻工业学院社会发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家社科基金重点项目“财税制度、要素流动与中国经济增长动力研究”(14AZD103) 上海财经大学研究生创新基金项目“劳动力禀赋、税收制度与服务业结构升级”(CXJJ-2014-414) 河南省社科规划项目“劳动力技术禀赋演进对河南服务业发展的影响及调适机制研究”(2015BJJ029)
【分类号】：F719;F812.45

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