珠三角城市等级与服务业发展差异实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-16 20:27

本文选题：珠三角　切入点：城市等级　出处：《暨南大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在全球经济一体化深入发展的大背景下，服务业在国民经济中的地位日益突出。在过去的十年中，世界各国已逐渐认识到服务业中蕴藏着的丰厚利润及发展服务业对经济发展的巨大贡献。服务业的发展离不开城市，城市是服务业的天然载体。历经多年风雨变迁后，多数城市逐步形成了以服务业为主体的产业结构。现有学术研究表明，城市等级与服务业发展存在着密切关联。自1996年以来，珠三角地区的九个城市的服务业发展迅速，但不同等级城市的服务业发展差距却在逐渐扩大，这会对城市服务业及城市经济的可持续发展造成影响。本文先根据城市人口规模与城市的经济发展水平将珠三角的九个城市分为三个等级，分析了1996年至2010年间不同等级城市的服务业发展差异。进而以新经济增长理论为基础，运用面板数据模型分析了相关要素在不同等级城市服务业发展中的作用。然后，利用灰色建模分析法对三大不同等级城市的服务业未来发展进行预测。最后，，本文根据实证结果与三大不同等级城市的实际特点提出发展服务业的建议和对策，以期更深入地探讨城市等级与服务业发展差异之间的关系。
[Abstract]:In the context of the deep development of global economic integration, the service industry has become increasingly prominent in the national economy. Countries all over the world have come to realize the rich profits in the service industry and the great contribution of the service industry to the economic development. The development of service industry can not be separated from the city, which is the natural carrier of the service industry. After many years of vicissitudes, most cities have gradually formed the industrial structure with the service industry as the main body. Since 1996, the service industry of nine cities in the Pearl River Delta region has developed rapidly, but the service industry development gap of the cities of different grades has been gradually expanding. This will have an impact on the sustainable development of urban services and the urban economy. In this paper, nine cities in the Pearl River Delta are divided into three levels according to the size of urban population and the level of urban economic development, and the difference of service development between 1996 and 2010 is analyzed, and then based on the theory of new economic growth. Using panel data model, this paper analyzes the role of relevant factors in the development of service industry in different levels of cities. Then, the future development of service industry of three cities of different levels is forecasted by using grey modeling method. Based on the empirical results and the actual characteristics of the three major cities of different grades, this paper puts forward some suggestions and countermeasures for the development of the service industry, in order to further explore the relationship between the urban grades and the differences in the development of the service industry.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F719;F224

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