重庆市现代服务业竞争力的实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-24 05:23

本文选题：现代服务业　切入点：竞争力　出处：《重庆工商大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：自20世纪70年代中后期以来，世界进入了高新技术蓬勃发展时期，知识经济推动主导产业发生“农业主导——制造业主导——服务业主导”的变化。目前在世界GDP总量中，服务业增加值的占比已经超过了60%；服务贸易占到世界贸易总额的1/4；服务消费占到所有消费的1/2左右。重庆作为国家中心城市，要建设成为长江上游的经济中心、西部地区的重要增长极、国际性大都市，为周边地区提供多方面、全方位的服务，应加快发展以生产性服务业为主的现代服务业。论文首先界定了现代服务业的内涵和概念，在第二章对相关现代服务业竞争力评价方法和竞争力影响因素的实证方法进行了文献评述，在此基础上提取了现代服务业竞争力的影响因子，为后续章节研究重庆市现代服务业在全国的竞争力水平以及重庆市现代服务业竞争力影响因素的实证分析奠定基础。第三章以重庆市现代服务业的发展现状为出发点，从产业结构和就业结构两方面进行了全面分析，并从发展水平、基础条件、公共环境和比较优势这四个方面建立了重庆市现代服务业竞争力综合评价指标体系，运用因子分析法对全国31个省、市、自治区进行了排名。结果表明，我国东部地区的现代服务业综合竞争力明显大于中、西部地区，，而中、西部地区现代服务业综合竞争力的差距并不大。重庆市在综合排名中位居第12位，其综合竞争力与东部经济发达地区仍有差距，但高于中部和西部各省市。在前面章节分析研究的基础上，第四章分别以现代服务业增加值和现代服务业就业人数为被解释变量构建多元回归模型，对重庆市现代服务业竞争力的影响因素做了实证分析。实证结果表明，重庆市现代服务业竞争力的影响因子有三个，一是重庆市城镇化率，该因子影响系数最大。在其他条件不变的情况下，重庆市城镇化率每增长一个百分点，重庆市现代服务业增加值就会增加20.04亿元，重庆市现代服务业就业人数将增加3810人。二是重庆市城镇居民人均可支配收入，在其他条件不变的情况下，重庆市城镇居民人均可支配收入每增加1000元，重庆市现代服务业增加值就会增长27亿元，重庆市现代服务业就业人数将增加1.7万人。三是重庆市实际利用外资额，在其他条件不变的情况下，重庆市实际利用外资额每提高1亿美元，重庆市现代服务业增加值将增长8亿元，重庆市现代服务业就业人数将增加2000人。最后，在上述章节分析的基础上，第五章从政府、行业协会、企业三个层面提出了促进重庆现代服务业发展的对策建议体系。
[Abstract]:Since the middle and late 1970s, the world has entered a period of vigorous development of high and new technology, and the knowledge economy has promoted the change of "agriculture-oriented, manufacturing-oriented and service-oriented" in the leading industries. At present, in the total amount of GDP in the world, The proportion of added value in the service sector has exceeded 60%; trade in services accounts for a quarter of the total world trade; and service consumption accounts for about a quarter of all consumption. As a national central city, Chongqing should be built into an economic center in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River. The important growth pole of the western region and the international metropolis provide various and all-round services to the surrounding areas. We should speed up the development of the modern service industry with producer services as the main factor. Firstly, the paper defines the connotation and concept of modern service industry. In the second chapter, it reviews the relevant evaluation methods of modern service industry competitiveness and empirical methods of influencing factors. On this basis, the influencing factors of the competitiveness of modern service industry are extracted, which lays a foundation for the following chapters to study the competitiveness level of modern service industry in Chongqing in the whole country and the empirical analysis of the influencing factors of the competitiveness of modern service industry in Chongqing. The third chapter takes Chongqing modern service industry as the starting point, from the industrial structure and the employment structure two aspects carries on the comprehensive analysis, and from the development level, the foundation condition, The comprehensive evaluation index system of Chongqing's modern service industry competitiveness has been established in the four aspects of public environment and comparative advantage, and 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions have been ranked by factor analysis method. The comprehensive competitiveness of modern service industry in the eastern part of China is obviously greater than that in the central and western regions, but the gap between the comprehensive competitiveness of the modern service industry in the middle and the west is not large. Its comprehensive competitive power still has the disparity with the eastern economic developed area, but is higher than the central and western provinces and cities. On the basis of the analysis and research in the previous chapters, the fourth chapter constructs a multivariate regression model with the added value of modern service industry and the number of employed persons in modern service industry as the explanatory variables, respectively. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the influencing factors of the competitiveness of Chongqing's modern service industry. The empirical results show that there are three influencing factors of the competitiveness of Chongqing's modern service industry, one is the urbanization rate of Chongqing, and the other is the urbanization rate of Chongqing. The influence coefficient of this factor is the greatest. Under the condition that other conditions remain unchanged, for every one percentage point increase in the urbanization rate in Chongqing, the added value of Chongqing's modern service industry will increase by 2.004 billion yuan. The employment of modern service industries in Chongqing will increase by 3810. Second, the per capita disposable income of urban residents in Chongqing will increase by 1000 yuan per capita under other conditions. The added value of Chongqing's modern service industry will increase by 2.7 billion yuan, and the employment of Chongqing's modern service industry will increase by 17000 people. Third, the amount of foreign capital actually utilized in Chongqing will remain unchanged under other conditions. For every US $100 million increase in the actual utilization of foreign capital in Chongqing, the added value of Chongqing's modern service industry will increase by 800 million yuan, and the employment of Chongqing's modern service industry will increase by 2000 people. Finally, on the basis of the analysis of the above chapters, the fifth chapter puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions system to promote the development of modern service industry in Chongqing from three aspects: government, trade association and enterprise.
【学位授予单位】：重庆工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F719

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