天津市生产性服务业与制造业产业关联研究

发布时间：2018-03-31 18:38

本文选题：生产性服务业　切入点：制造业　出处：《天津财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着生产力的进步和经济的发展,我国进入了产业结构调整的重要阶段,制造业与服务业由于在经济发展中的特殊地位,成为产业结构调整中的重点。作为中国北方重要的工业城市,也是环渤海地区的中心城市,天津的经济发展得到了国内相关政策的大力支持,许多国内外重要的制造企业都集中在天津,制造业对总体经济的发展也作出了很大的贡献,同时,服务业特别是生产性服务业也取得了巨大的进步,为天津经济发展增添了活力。通过研究生产性服务业与制造业之间产业关联情况,对目前二者的协同发展情况作出度量,了解二者内在作用机理,是促进制造业与生产性服务业转型升级、创新的必要手段,因此,主要从以下两个角度进行了相关的研究工作：首先利用系统耦合模型,构建生产性服务业—制造业系统4个一级指标,11个二级指标的指标体系,运用熵值法进行权重测定,对天津生产性服务业与制造业间耦合协调度的发展历程及现状进行度量,从整体上考察了两大产业的耦合情况。结果表明：生产性服务业与制造业均处于飞速发展的阶段,对天津市经济发展中起着重要的促进作用,生产性服务业的发展水平滞后于制造业的发展水平,二者的耦合协调度从2006年的低度协调逐渐过渡到中级协调,为了更好的促进制造业转型升级,应加快生产性服务业的发展,从资金投入、技术创新、人才引进等角度进行生产性服务业的调整升级。其次以2002年和2007年天津市投入产出表数据为基础,运用向量自回归方法和投入产出分析方法,对天津市生产性服务业和制造业进行产业关联分析。选取增加值、中间投入率、中间需求率、影响力系数和感应度系数等指标分析了生产性服务业与制造业的关联,研究结果表明：制造业对国民经济的支柱作用不容忽视；制造业对生产性服务业的中间需求结构和生产性服务业对制造业的中间投入结构均呈现不断优化趋势,但中间需求率和投入率都不高,经济关联不显著；生产性服务业对其他部门的推动作用普遍大于服务业受其他部门的需求拉动作用,但对制造业的前向作用不太显著,产业关联效应仍处于较低水平。这一研究对于天津市相关产业政策的制定具有重要的理论和现实意义
[Abstract]:With the progress of productive forces and economic development, China has entered an important stage of industrial restructuring. Manufacturing and service industries have a special position in economic development. As an important industrial city in northern China and a central city around the Bohai Sea, Tianjin's economic development has been strongly supported by relevant domestic policies. Many important manufacturing enterprises at home and abroad are concentrated in Tianjin, and the manufacturing industry has made great contributions to the overall economic development. At the same time, the service industry, especially producer services, has also made great progress. It has added vitality to the economic development of Tianjin. By studying the industrial relationship between producer service and manufacturing industry, this paper measures the current situation of cooperative development between the two, and understands the internal mechanism of the two. Is a necessary means to promote the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing and producer services, and innovation, therefore, mainly from the following two aspects of the relevant research work: first, using the system coupling model, This paper constructs the index system of 4 primary indexes and 11 secondary indexes of producer service-manufacturing system, and measures the development course and present situation of coupling coordination degree between producer service industry and manufacturing industry in Tianjin by using entropy method. The results show that both producer services and manufacturing industries are in the stage of rapid development, which plays an important role in promoting the economic development of Tianjin. The development level of producer service industry lags behind that of manufacturing industry. The degree of coupling and coordination between the two has gradually changed from low to intermediate coordination in 2006. In order to better promote the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry, the development of producer services should be accelerated. Based on the data of input-output table of Tianjin in 2002 and 2007, vector autoregressive method and input-output analysis method are used to adjust and upgrade producer service industry. This paper analyzes the industrial relationship between producer service industry and manufacturing industry in Tianjin, and analyzes the relationship between producer service industry and manufacturing industry by selecting the indexes of added value, intermediate input rate, intermediate demand rate, influence coefficient and sensitivity coefficient, etc. The results show that the mainstay of manufacturing industry to the national economy can not be ignored, the structure of intermediate demand of manufacturing industry to producer services and the structure of intermediate input of producer services to manufacturing industry show a trend of continuous optimization. However, the intermediate demand rate and input rate are not high, and the economic connection is not significant. Producer services generally promote other sectors more than services are driven by demand from other sectors, but the forward effect on manufacturing is not significant. This study has important theoretical and practical significance for the formulation of relevant industrial policies in Tianjin.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F719;F424

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