西安市生产性服务业与制造业互动发展研究

发布时间：2018-04-05 21:06

本文选题：生产性服务业　切入点：制造业　出处：《西安工程大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：工业化是一国的经济发展与社会进步不可跨越的阶段。制造业是工业化的产业支撑点，也是生产性服务业发展的前提及其产出的重要需求部门。随着工业化进程的加快，制造业迅速发展，竞争力不断提升，以制造企业为服务对象的生产性服务业得到了充足的需求来源。具有中间投入性、知识性等特征的生产性服务业是工业化发展的推进剂。可以看出，生产性服务业与制造业相互联系、相互作用，这种良性互动关系可以提升区域竞争力，有效的改善产业结构。基于上述背景及实际的需要，本研究主要立足于生产性服务业与制造业互动发展，以西安市为研究对象，以《西安市统计年鉴》、《陕西省统计年鉴》数据为依托，选取1992-2011年时间序列，运用偏离——份额（SSM）分析、协整检验、格兰杰（Granger）因果检验、灰色关联等分析方法，以Eviews6.0软件作为分析工具进行实证研究，并针对西安市生产性服务业和制造业的发展现状及实证结论提出合理、有效的对策建议来推动西安市未来的产业经济发展。本研究的主要研究工作及创新点可以归结为以下三个方面：（1）以西安市为研究对象，剖析生产性服务业和制造业的互动关系。现有研究主要集中在北京、天津、上海、宁波等城市，而关中——天水规划，西咸新区建设，西安国际化大都市打造等目标使得西安市生产性服务业与制造业互动发展迫在眉睫。本文不仅拓宽了研究的范围，也进一步证实了生产性服务业与制造业互动关系理论。（2）对西安市产业结构进行偏离——份额（SSM）分析及现状讨论。结果表明：西安市“三、二、一”产业结构基本合理，，但内部结构仍需进一步完善。生产性服务业发展相对滞后，制造业产业结构需进一步优化。（3）在实证研究方面，基于生产性服务业整体及各行业与制造业的互动关系进行研究。A.协整关系结果表明：西安市生产性服务业与制造业存在着长期均衡。生产性服务业增加值每增加1%，制造业增加值将增加0.57%。制造业增加值每增加1%，生产性服务业增加值将增加1.75%。B.格兰杰（Granger）因果关系结果表明：西安市生产性服务业与制造业互为单向因果关系，制造业对生产性服务业的作用更加明显。C.灰色关联结果表明：生产性服务业各个行业与制造业的关联关系排序为交通运输及仓储邮政业科学研究、技术服务和地质勘探业租赁和商务服务业金融保险业信息传输、计算机服务和软件业，金融业、信息传输、计算机服务和软件业等需要进一步加强。
[Abstract]:Industrialization is the economic development and social progress of a country can not be across the stage. The manufacturing industry is an important industry support for industrialization, and its output is the premise requirement of producer services development. With the accelerated process of industrialization, the rapid development of manufacturing, continuously improve the competitiveness of manufacturing enterprises, to serve the production the service industry has been sufficient sources of demand. With intermediate inputs, such as the characteristics of knowledge production service industry is the industrialization development of propellant. It can be seen that the productive service industry and manufacturing industry, mutual connection, interaction, this interaction relationship can enhance regional competitiveness, improve the industrial structure effectively.
Based on the above background and the actual needs, this study is mainly based on the interaction between producer services and manufacturing industry in Xi'an city as the research object, in "Xi'an City Statistical Yearbook > >, < statistical yearbook of Shaanxi Province Based on the data, select the 1992-2011 year time series, using the shift share analysis (SSM), Co Grainger (Granger) integration test, Granger causality test, grey correlation analysis method, taking Eviews6.0 software as the empirical research analysis tool, and the development status and empirical for Xi'an producer services and manufacturing the conclusion put forward reasonable, effective countermeasures and suggestions to promote the economic development of Xi'an city in the future.
The main research work and innovation point of this study can be summed up in the following three aspects:
(1) in Xi'an city as the research object, analyzes the interactive relationship between producer service industry and manufacturing industry. The existing research mainly concentrated in Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Ningbo and Guanzhong Tianshui City, planning and construction of Xi Xian new area, Xi'an international metropolis building goal makes the imminent interaction between producer service industry in Xi'an city with the development of the manufacturing industry. This paper not only broadens the scope of the study, further confirmed the theory of interaction between producer service industry and manufacturing industry.
(2) on the industrial structure of Xi'an city shift share (SSM) is discussed and the status quo analysis. The results show that Xi'an city "three, two" industrial structure is basically reasonable, but the internal structure still needs further improvement. The productive service industry development lags behind, the need to further optimize the industrial structure of manufacturing industry.
(3) in the empirical research, the relationship between.A. co interaction between producer services and manufacturing industry based on the industry and the results show that the productive service industry and manufacturing industry in Xi'an city there is a long-term equilibrium. The increase of producer services value increased 1%, manufacturing value added will increase 0.57%. the added value increased 1%, the increase of producer services will increase the value of 1.75%.B. Grainger (Granger) the causal relationship between the results show that the Xi'an City productive service industry and manufacturing industry are one-way causal relationship, the role of manufacturing of producer services is more obvious.C. grey correlation results show that producer services in various industries and the manufacturing industry Association ranking for scientific research transportation and warehousing postal services, finance and insurance, technical services and geological prospecting industry leasing and business services industry information transmission, computer services and software Industry, financial industry, information transmission, computer services and software industry need to be further strengthened.

【学位授予单位】：西安工程大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F424;F719

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