区域城市化进程与服务业发展水平的互动能力分析

发布时间：2018-04-30 03:16

本文选题：城市化 + 服务业　；参考：《企业经济》2016年08期

【摘要】：基于2005-2014年我国内陆31个省市区的面板数据,利用单位根检验、协整检验及误差修正模型,实证分析了区域城市化进程与服务业发展水平之间的互动关系。研究结果表明,我国东、中、西部地区城市化进程与服务业发展水平之间存在互动关系,东北地区城市化进程对服务业发展水平具有单向因果关系。从长期来看,东、中、西部地区城市化进程对服务业发展水平具有明显推动作用,服务业发展水平也对城市化进程具有显著的促进作用,但不同区域互动弹性系数不同;从短期来说,东部地区城市化进程与服务业发展水平存在双向因果关系,中西部地区城市化进程与服务业发展水平因果关系不明显。最后,根据地区特征,提出促进城市化和服务业协调发展的建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of 31 provinces and municipalities in the interior of China from 2005 to 2014, the interaction between regional urbanization process and the development level of service industry is analyzed empirically by using unit root test, cointegration test and error correction model. The results show that there is an interactive relationship between the urbanization process and the development level of the service industry in the east, middle and west of China, and there is a one-way causal relationship between the urbanization process in the Northeast region and the level of the service industry development. In the long run, the urbanization process in the east, middle and west regions has a significant role in promoting the development level of the service industry, and the development level of the service industry also plays a significant role in promoting the urbanization process, but the interaction elasticity coefficient of different regions is different. In the short term, there is a two-way causal relationship between the urbanization process and the development level of the service industry in the eastern part of China, but there is no obvious causal relationship between the urbanization process and the level of service development in the central and western regions. Finally, according to the regional characteristics, the paper puts forward some suggestions to promote the coordinated development of urbanization and service industry.
【作者单位】：南昌大学经济管理学院国贸系;南昌大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“产业承接地工业园区产城融合研究”(项目编号:14BJY082) 高校人文社科重点研究基地项目“南昌旅游经济空间结构研究”(项目编号:JD1345) 2015年南昌大学研究生创新专项资金项目“江西省生产性服务业利用FDI效应研究”(项目编号:cx2015088) 2014年度南昌大学经济管理学院研究生创新专项资金项目“‘定向调控’新思路背景下江西省战略性新兴产业发展研究”
【分类号】：F224;F299.21;F719

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