河北省第三产业发展影响因素分析及对策建议

发布时间：2018-05-24 06:49

本文选题：第三产业 + 多元统计回归　；参考：《河北大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国经济的快速增长，第三产业发展的重要性日益显著，第三产业占我国国内生产总值的比重越来越大。当今一个国家或者地区现代化水平的发展状况，通常借助第三产业增加值所占该国或者该地区生产总值的比重高低进行衡量。作为经济大省，河北省近年来经济发展迅速。不过，，目前河北省的产业结构仍然不够合理，第三产业所占河北省地区生产总值的比重偏低，对河北省经济增长贡献程度有限。研究河北省第三产业的发展现状和规律、找出影响河北省第三产业发展的因素、逐步优化产业结构，对河北省第三产业发展的相关产业政策的制定以及推动第三产业进一步发展，有非常重要的意义。本文通过对河北省第三产业总量影响因素、河北省各地区第三产业发展的状况研究，河北省第三产业内部结构变动三方面进行研究，对河北省第三产业进行全面分析，找出影响河北省第三产业发展的制约因素，并针对河北省第三产业发展所面临的具体困难提出相应的对策与建议。首先，以1995-2009年河北省经济数据为基础，收集相关产业信息，通过建立多元回归模型，对河北省第三产业发展的影响因素进行实证分析，得出人均收入水平、城市化率、对外贸易程度等因素与河北省第三产业发展程正相关关系，个人信息化程度与第三产业发展呈负相关关系。然后以2009年河北省各地区第三产业相关数据为基础，运用因子分析方法对推动河北省各地区第三产业发展状况进行评价，找出各地区第三产业发展的优势与不足，根据因子得分，将城市分为生活水平推动型城市、人才（智力）推动型城市、外资推动型的城市以及政府推动型城市四种模式，并为各地区服务业发展分别提出建议。最后，通过对河北省第三产业发展与全国和其他省份进行比较，得出河北省第三产业内部结构不够合理，传统服务业比重偏高，新兴服务业比重偏低的结论。文章最后针对河北省发展过程中面临的困难并结合河北省的具体省情，为河北省进一步促进第三产业发展提出对策建议。
[Abstract]:With the rapid growth of China's economy, the importance of the development of the tertiary industry is becoming increasingly prominent, and the proportion of the tertiary industry in China's gross domestic product (GDP) is increasing. Nowadays, the development of modernization level of a country or region is usually measured by the proportion of the added value of the tertiary industry to the GDP of that country or region. As a major economic province, Hebei Province has developed rapidly in recent years. However, at present, the industrial structure of Hebei Province is still not reasonable, the proportion of the tertiary industry in the GDP of Hebei Province is low, and the contribution to the economic growth of Hebei Province is limited. To study the current situation and law of the development of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province, to find out the factors that affect the development of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province, and to gradually optimize the industrial structure. It is of great significance to formulate relevant industrial policies and promote the further development of tertiary industry in Hebei Province. This paper makes a comprehensive analysis of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province through the study of the influencing factors of the total amount of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province, the situation of the development of the tertiary industry in various regions of Hebei Province, and the changes in the internal structure of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province. This paper finds out the restrictive factors affecting the development of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province, and puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions in view of the specific difficulties faced by the development of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province. First of all, based on the economic data of Hebei Province from 1995 to 2009, we collect the relevant industry information, through the establishment of multiple regression model, empirical analysis of the factors affecting the development of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province, the level of per capita income, urbanization rate, The degree of foreign trade and other factors are positively related to the development of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province, while the degree of personal information has a negative correlation with the development of the third industry. Then based on the relevant data of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province in 2009, using factor analysis method to evaluate the situation of promoting the development of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province, to find out the advantages and disadvantages of the development of the tertiary industry in each region. According to the factor score, the city can be divided into four types: the city of living standard, the city of talent (intelligence), the city of foreign capital and the city of government, and some suggestions are put forward for the development of service industry in different regions. Finally, by comparing the development of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province with the whole country and other provinces, the conclusion is drawn that the internal structure of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province is not reasonable, the proportion of traditional service industry is on the high side, and the proportion of emerging service industry is on the low side. In the end, aiming at the difficulties in the development of Hebei Province and considering the specific situation of Hebei Province, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions for further promoting the development of the tertiary industry in Hebei Province.
【学位授予单位】：河北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F719

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