去工业化促进了服务业效率提升吗

发布时间：2018-05-25 09:19

本文选题：去工业化 + 服务业TFP　；参考：《统计研究》2017年03期

【摘要】：世界产业发展史表明,当一国进入工业化中后期,随着生产效率大幅提升,其产业结构演变亦呈现出明显的去工业化特征。以工业化国家为参照,现阶段我国人均收入远未达到工业化国家去工业化时的水平,此时收缩工业产出和就业规模,可视为一种被动去工业化,客观上不利于服务业效率的提升。本文利用2005—2014年我国制造业和服务业数据估计了去工业化对服务业效率的影响。在控制住市场结构和所有制结构等因素的影响后,研究结果显示:(1)去工业化与服务业效率之间呈现负相关关系;(2)去工业化通过提高劳动力成本对传统服务业效率产生负效应;(3)去工业化通过削弱制造业对服务业的有效需求从而不利于生产性服务业效率的提升。
[Abstract]:The history of world industry development shows that when a country enters the middle and late stage of industrialization, with the increase of production efficiency, its industrial structure evolves with obvious characteristics of deindustrialization. Taking the industrialized countries as a reference, at this stage our per capita income is far from the level of the industrialized countries at the time of deindustrialization. At this time, the contraction of industrial output and employment can be regarded as a passive deindustrialization. Objectively speaking, it is not conducive to the promotion of service efficiency. In this paper, the effects of deindustrialization on the efficiency of service industry are estimated by using the data of manufacturing and service industries from 2005 to 2014. After controlling the influence of market structure and ownership structure, The results show that there is a negative correlation between deindustrialization and service efficiency. (2) De-industrialization has a negative effect on the efficiency of traditional service industry by increasing labor cost. Effective demand is not conducive to the efficiency of producer services.
【作者单位】：西安交通大学经济与金融学院经济学系;西安交通大学经济与金融学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“新常态下产业结构转型升级的路径选择研究”(15CJL028) 中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目“制造业和服务业间资源错配对中国非农TFP的影响研究”(2015T81010);中国博士后科学基金面上项目“资源误配与中国工业全要素生产率研究”(2013M530417)资助
【分类号】：F719

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