EPC项目风险评价与控制研究

发布时间：2018-06-10 04:45

本文选题：合同能源管理（EPC） + 风险评价　；参考：《济南大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：合同能源管理（EPC）是一种能兼顾社会、国家、客户企业、节能服务公司（ESCO）各方利益，能实现双赢甚至多赢的、十分有益的运作模式。对客户来说，实施EPC项目是“零风险、零投入”，而对ESCO来说，却是百分之百的投入和风险。ESCO竞争力的核心体现在风险管理水平的高低上。ESCO要想取得EPC项目成功，必须做好风险管理工作，科学合理地控制风险。当然EPC项目的风险可以量化。鉴于此，本文以EPC项目风险评价与控制工作为主线，按照项目风险识别—创建WBS—对风险因素进行问卷调查—建立EPC项目风险评价指标体系—采用熵权模糊评价方法和灰色多层次评价方法评价项目风险—提出风险控制对策—ESCO案例分析这一过程，给出了在我国推行EPC项目的风险评价的方法和控制风险的措施。第一部分，阐述本论文研究的背景及其意义，查阅相关的文献及资料，并作EPC风险管理相关的文献综述，同时概括本论文的主要研究内容以及所用的研究方法，最后指出本论文的创新之处。第二部分，分析了我国能源供求缺口情况，概述EPC，分析利用EPC促进节能减排的作用机理及EPC项目风险管理的意义、过程、机制。第三部分，探讨EPC项目的风险识别步骤，并探讨了熵权模糊评价模型和灰色多层次评价模型在EPC项目风险评价上的适用性。第四部分，针对EPC项目风险各项指标，，探讨具体的风险控制方法，并从项目准备阶段、实施阶段、效益分享阶段探讨了EPC项目的过程风险控制。第五部分，选取济南市的节能服务公司—融世华的EPC项目做调研，对其风险管理经验做深刻的剖析。第六部分，对本文的研究做总结，指出研究的局限性及后续研究方向。希望本文的研究能对ESCO进行EPC项目风险管理工作有一定的指导作用。
[Abstract]:Contract Energy Management (EPC) is a very beneficial operation mode which can take into account the interests of the society, the country, the customer enterprises and the energy-saving service companies. For customers, the implementation of EPC project is "zero risk, zero input", but for ESCO, it is 100% investment and the core of risk .ESCO competitiveness is reflected in the level of risk management. ESCO wants to succeed in EPC project. We must do a good job in risk management and control risks scientifically and reasonably. Of course, the risk of EPC project can be quantified. In view of this, this paper takes the risk evaluation and control of EPC project as the main line. According to Project risk Identification-create WBS- questionnaire on risk factors-Establishment of EPC Project risk Evaluation Index system-use entropy weight fuzzy evaluation method and grey multi-level evaluation method to evaluate project risk-propose risk Control game-ESCO case analysis of this process, The method of risk assessment and the measures to control the risk of implementing EPC project in China are given. In the first part, the background and significance of this paper are described, the relevant literature and materials are consulted, and the EPC risk management literature is summarized. At the same time, the main research contents and the research methods used in this paper are summarized. Finally, the innovation of this paper is pointed out. The second part analyzes the gap of energy supply and demand in China, summarizes the EPCs, analyzes the mechanism of using EPC to promote energy saving and emission reduction and the significance, process and mechanism of EPC project risk management. In the third part, the risk identification steps of EPC project are discussed, and the applicability of entropy weight fuzzy evaluation model and grey multi-level evaluation model in EPC project risk evaluation is discussed. In the fourth part, according to the EPC project risk indexes, the specific risk control methods are discussed, and the process risk control of the EPC project is discussed from the project preparation stage, the implementation stage and the benefit sharing stage. In the fifth part, the EPC project of Rong Shihua, an energy saving service company in Jinan, is selected for investigation, and its risk management experience is deeply analyzed. The sixth part summarizes the research of this paper, points out the limitations of the study and the direction of future research, and hopes that the research in this paper can provide some guidance for ESCO to carry out EPC project risk management.
【学位授予单位】：济南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F206;F719

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