生产性服务业是否促进三大产业协同发展——基于我国投入产出表的实证分析

发布时间：2018-06-25 03:28

本文选题：生产性服务业 + 投入产出表　；参考：《会计之友》2016年05期

【摘要】：采用投入产出表的时间序列数据,从生产性服务的特性出发,深入研究了我国生产性服务业发展对三大产业的影响。结果发现:中国的服务业对第一产业的直接消耗最少,对第二产业和第三产业的直接消耗相差不多,但在部门之间有差别;服务业对第二产业的完全消耗明显大于对第三产业的完全消耗,说明服务业产出离不开制造业产品的供给;对服务业整体而言,反映后向联系的影响力系数和反映前向联系的感应度系数均较小,中国服务业的发展具有"独立性",其对国民经济其他部门的推动作用或受国民经济其他部门的拉动作用均不明显。由此,我国应积极推进生产性服务业的发展,增强其产业关联度,以此促进新常态下社会结构的调整与国内产业结构的升级。
[Abstract]:Based on the time series data of input-output table and the characteristics of producer services, the influence of the development of producer services on the three major industries in China is studied in depth. The results show that the direct consumption of the service industry in China is the least, the direct consumption of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry is not much, but there are differences between the departments. The total consumption of the service industry to the secondary industry is obviously greater than that of the third industry, indicating that the output of the service industry cannot be separated from the supply of manufacturing products; for the service industry as a whole, The coefficient of influence reflecting backward connection and the coefficient of sensitivity reflecting forward connection were smaller, The development of China's service industry has "independence", and its role in promoting other sectors of the national economy or being pulled by other sectors of the national economy is not obvious. Therefore, our country should actively promote the development of producer service industry and strengthen its industrial correlation degree, so as to promote the adjustment of social structure and the upgrading of domestic industrial structure under the new normal state.
【作者单位】：上海大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F719

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