我国服务业区域发展非均衡性及经济传导效应的实证研究
发布时间：2018-07-27 15:30
【摘要】：随着现代经济的演进，服务业在国民经济发展中迅速崛起，其发展水平已经成为一个国家经济实力的重要体现。我国服务业在改革开放的三十年里实现了长足的发展和高速的增长，已经逐步成为国民经济增长的重要推动力量。但是由于各区域在经济增速、产业结构和要素禀赋等方面均存在着差异性，我国不同区域在服务业发展过程中存在的非均衡现象日益严重。由此，本文围绕我国服务业的区域发展非均衡问题以及服务业的经济传导效应从多个角度进行了分析和检验。 首先，本文通过对区域服务业的增长效应和效率水平的差异性分析，全面地研究了我国服务业发展的区域非均衡问题。在服务业区域增长非均衡性的分析中，引入偏离份额模型测度了区域服务业及主要子产业的增长效应，并利用同位变化和空间依赖模型分离出区位效应的作用，比较了我国各区域服务业增长效应中存在的显著差异。总体而言，我国沿海地区服务业的整体增速高于其他区域，各区域具有竞争优势的子产业各有不同，然而区位效应对区域服务业增长的影响程度较低，各区域尚未充分体现出服务业集聚的经济性。在我国服务业区域效率非均衡性的分析中，运用数据包络分析方法测算并比较了各区域的效率变动和相对效率水平。我国区域服务业效率水平差异显著，基本与区域经济发展水平相一致。经济较发达区域的服务业效率水平较高，但是由于技术进步能力不足导致效率水平提高较慢，经济欠发达区域的服务业效率水平相对较低，但是通过在服务业管理和规模上的改进拥有了较快的追赶速度。同时，各区域的服务业效率均受到区域外部环境的显著影响。 然后，为了探究我国区域服务业发展非均衡现象的趋势，运用空间面板数据模型对我国服务业的敛散性进行检验，并通过添加条件因素的进一步检验分析了我国服务业区域发展非均衡的原因。我国区域服务业的发展呈现出发散性的趋势，服务业发达区域的产业增速大于服务业不发达区域，并且在空间上存在显著的相互影响，，相邻区域服务业发展水平既相互促进又相互制约。此外，区域经济水平、产业要素投入、基础设施建设等因素均在不同程度上造成了区域服务业的发展差异。 最后，本文从服务业主要子产业对整体经济的促进以及服务业与GDP波动的关系两个层次检验了我国服务业的经济传导效应。不仅验证了服务业的关键地位和重要作用，也看到了对于尚处在工业化和城市化进程中的我国来说，服务业尤其是现代服务业仍然处于原始积累和规模扩张阶段，对整体经济增长依赖有余而贡献不足，这意味着我国未来经济实力增强的最大潜力将来自于服务业的优化发展。
[Abstract]:With the evolution of modern economy, the service industry has risen rapidly in the development of national economy, and its development level has become an important embodiment of a country's economic strength. During the thirty years of reform and opening up, the service industry of our country has achieved great development and high speed growth, and has gradually become an important driving force of national economic growth. However, due to the differences in economic growth rate, industrial structure and factor endowment among different regions, the unbalanced phenomenon in the development of service industry in different regions of China is becoming more and more serious. Therefore, this paper analyzes and tests the disequilibrium of regional development of service industry in China and the economic conduction effect of service industry from several angles. Firstly, by analyzing the difference of the growth effect and efficiency level of the regional service industry, this paper comprehensively studies the regional disequilibrium in the development of our country's service industry. In the analysis of the disequilibrium of regional growth of service industry, this paper introduces the deviation share model to measure the growth effect of regional service industry and its main sub-industries, and uses the isomorphic and spatial dependence model to separate out the role of location effect. The significant differences in the growth effects of regional service industry in China are compared. In general, the overall growth rate of service industry in coastal areas of China is higher than that in other regions, and the sub-industries with competitive advantages are different in each region, but the influence of location effect on the growth of regional service industry is relatively low. The economy of service industry agglomeration has not been fully reflected in each region. In the analysis of disequilibrium of regional efficiency of service industry in China, the paper calculates and compares the efficiency variation and relative efficiency level of each region by using the method of data envelopment analysis. China's regional service efficiency level is significantly different, basically consistent with the level of regional economic development. The efficiency level of service industry in the more developed regions is higher, but the efficiency level of the service industry in the less developed regions is relatively low because of the low technological progress ability. But through the service industry management and scale improvement has a faster catch-up speed. At the same time, the service efficiency of each region is significantly affected by the regional external environment. Then, in order to explore the trend of unbalanced development of regional service industry in China, the paper uses spatial panel data model to test the convergence and divergence of service industry in China. The reasons for the unbalanced development of service industry in China are analyzed through the further test of adding condition factors. The development of regional service industry in China shows a divergent trend. The industrial growth rate in the developed region of the service industry is larger than that in the underdeveloped region of the service industry, and there is significant interaction in space. The development level of adjacent regional service industry promotes and restricts each other. In addition, regional economic level, industrial input, infrastructure construction and other factors have resulted in the development of regional service industry in different degrees. Finally, this paper examines the economic conduction effect of China's service industry from two aspects: the promotion of the service industry to the whole economy and the relationship between the service industry and the fluctuation of GDP. It not only verifies the key position and the important role of the service industry, but also shows that the service industry, especially the modern service industry, is still at the stage of primitive accumulation and scale expansion for our country, which is still in the process of industrialization and urbanization. It is not enough to rely on the overall economic growth, which means that the greatest potential of our country's economic strength in the future will come from the optimized development of the service industry.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F719;F224
本文编号：2148276
[Abstract]:With the evolution of modern economy, the service industry has risen rapidly in the development of national economy, and its development level has become an important embodiment of a country's economic strength. During the thirty years of reform and opening up, the service industry of our country has achieved great development and high speed growth, and has gradually become an important driving force of national economic growth. However, due to the differences in economic growth rate, industrial structure and factor endowment among different regions, the unbalanced phenomenon in the development of service industry in different regions of China is becoming more and more serious. Therefore, this paper analyzes and tests the disequilibrium of regional development of service industry in China and the economic conduction effect of service industry from several angles. Firstly, by analyzing the difference of the growth effect and efficiency level of the regional service industry, this paper comprehensively studies the regional disequilibrium in the development of our country's service industry. In the analysis of the disequilibrium of regional growth of service industry, this paper introduces the deviation share model to measure the growth effect of regional service industry and its main sub-industries, and uses the isomorphic and spatial dependence model to separate out the role of location effect. The significant differences in the growth effects of regional service industry in China are compared. In general, the overall growth rate of service industry in coastal areas of China is higher than that in other regions, and the sub-industries with competitive advantages are different in each region, but the influence of location effect on the growth of regional service industry is relatively low. The economy of service industry agglomeration has not been fully reflected in each region. In the analysis of disequilibrium of regional efficiency of service industry in China, the paper calculates and compares the efficiency variation and relative efficiency level of each region by using the method of data envelopment analysis. China's regional service efficiency level is significantly different, basically consistent with the level of regional economic development. The efficiency level of service industry in the more developed regions is higher, but the efficiency level of the service industry in the less developed regions is relatively low because of the low technological progress ability. But through the service industry management and scale improvement has a faster catch-up speed. At the same time, the service efficiency of each region is significantly affected by the regional external environment. Then, in order to explore the trend of unbalanced development of regional service industry in China, the paper uses spatial panel data model to test the convergence and divergence of service industry in China. The reasons for the unbalanced development of service industry in China are analyzed through the further test of adding condition factors. The development of regional service industry in China shows a divergent trend. The industrial growth rate in the developed region of the service industry is larger than that in the underdeveloped region of the service industry, and there is significant interaction in space. The development level of adjacent regional service industry promotes and restricts each other. In addition, regional economic level, industrial input, infrastructure construction and other factors have resulted in the development of regional service industry in different degrees. Finally, this paper examines the economic conduction effect of China's service industry from two aspects: the promotion of the service industry to the whole economy and the relationship between the service industry and the fluctuation of GDP. It not only verifies the key position and the important role of the service industry, but also shows that the service industry, especially the modern service industry, is still at the stage of primitive accumulation and scale expansion for our country, which is still in the process of industrialization and urbanization. It is not enough to rely on the overall economic growth, which means that the greatest potential of our country's economic strength in the future will come from the optimized development of the service industry.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F719;F224
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本文编号：2148276
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