服务业尚未成为中国城市化的主要动力
发布时间：2018-08-13 17:13
【摘要】：运用中国地级以上城市面板数据,使用计量模型分析了中国地级以上城市城市化的主要产业动力。认为目前中国城市化的主要动力仍来自工业,但服务业已构成超大城市和部分特大城市人口增长的主要动力。基于数据分析结果,认为中小城市不应盲目刺激服务业增长;部分工业城市应适当缩小城市规模;大城市应成为推进城市化和城市体系结构优化的战略重心;超大城市则应充分发挥服务业优势,增强人口承载能力。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of Chinese cities above the prefectural level, this paper analyzes the main industrial power of urbanization above the prefectural level by using the econometric model. It is considered that the main driving force of urbanization in China still comes from industry, but the service industry has already constituted the main driving force of population growth in megacities and some megacities. Based on the results of data analysis, it is concluded that small and medium-sized cities should not blindly stimulate the growth of service industry, some industrial cities should reduce the scale of cities, large cities should become the strategic focus of promoting urbanization and optimization of urban system structure, and small and medium-sized cities should not blindly stimulate the growth of service industries. Megacities should give full play to the advantages of the service industry and enhance the carrying capacity of the population.
【作者单位】： 国家统计局国民经济综合统计司综合处;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(14AZD020)——中国中长期经济增长动力研究
【分类号】：F299.2;F719
本文编号：2181653
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of Chinese cities above the prefectural level, this paper analyzes the main industrial power of urbanization above the prefectural level by using the econometric model. It is considered that the main driving force of urbanization in China still comes from industry, but the service industry has already constituted the main driving force of population growth in megacities and some megacities. Based on the results of data analysis, it is concluded that small and medium-sized cities should not blindly stimulate the growth of service industry, some industrial cities should reduce the scale of cities, large cities should become the strategic focus of promoting urbanization and optimization of urban system structure, and small and medium-sized cities should not blindly stimulate the growth of service industries. Megacities should give full play to the advantages of the service industry and enhance the carrying capacity of the population.
【作者单位】： 国家统计局国民经济综合统计司综合处;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(14AZD020)——中国中长期经济增长动力研究
【分类号】：F299.2;F719
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