山东省第三产业发展对城乡协调影响的实证分析

发布时间：2018-10-12 11:05

【摘要】：以第三产业发展为切入点,以促进城乡协调为目标,采用主成份分析法,对山东省17地市2008-2010年的城乡数据和第三产业数据进行实证分析,研究结果显示:山东省17地市第三产业发展与其城乡发展并不同步。运用1982-2010年的数据,对第三产业发展与城乡协调的指标进行协整检验,得出研究结论:山东省人均第三产业增加值对城乡空间发展度存在正向积极的影响,济南市服务密度的增加对城乡空间发展度的提高存在显著的正向积极影响,青岛市第三产业发展与城乡协调间不存在唯一协整关系。因此,应该优化青岛、烟台等地市的第三产业内部结构、发展现代服务业以促进城乡协调。
[Abstract]:Taking the development of the tertiary industry as the starting point and promoting the coordination of urban and rural areas as the goal, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the urban and rural data and tertiary industry data from 2008 to 2010 in 17 cities of Shandong Province by principal component analysis. The results show that the development of tertiary industry in 17 cities of Shandong Province is not synchronized with the development of urban and rural areas. Based on the data from 1982 to 2010, this paper makes a cointegration test on the indicators of tertiary industry development and urban and rural coordination, and draws the conclusion that the per capita added value of tertiary industry in Shandong Province has a positive effect on the degree of urban and rural spatial development. The increase of service density in Jinan has a significant positive effect on the improvement of urban and rural spatial development. There is no only cointegration relationship between tertiary industry development and urban and rural coordination in Qingdao. Therefore, the internal structure of tertiary industry in Qingdao, Yantai and other cities should be optimized, and modern service industry should be developed to promote the coordination between urban and rural areas.
【作者单位】：山东青年政治学院信息工程学院;山东政法学院商学院;中国人民大学经济学院;
【基金】：山东省软科学研究计划项目成果“山东省第三产业发展促进城乡协调的机制与模式研究”(项目编号2011RKGA7027) 山东省社科联科研课题“山东省现代服务业统计指标体系设计研究”(批准号11-ZC-JJ-03) 山东青年政治学院重点课题(山青院字〔2011〕50号)
【分类号】：F224;F719;F127

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