增长和就业兼顾视角下的青岛市服务业发展研究

发布时间：2019-01-18 08:58

【摘要】：正如在20世纪90年代以来我国服务业的快速发展却导致服务业的劳动力吸纳能力不断下降一样，从21世纪起，青岛市的服务业的产值不断提高，但是其就业的增长速度却在减缓。而现在青岛市服务业发展正处于一个关键时期，对于青岛市服务业增长和就业有效兼顾的研究就变得非常有意义。本文从服务业增长及就业的角度对青岛市服务业进行全面而又深入的研究，以探讨二者有效兼顾的因素。影响青岛市服务业增长及就业因素有很多，评价模型不统一，本文从索罗经济增长模型出发，，确定三大影响因素为资本、劳动和技术，从这三者对青岛市服务业进行一个全面而又深入的研究，将资本细化为国内资本和国外资本，将劳动力分为劳动者的数量和质量两方面，再将技术分为非体现的技术进步也就是我们所说的全要素生产率和资本中体现的技术进步。这样，对变量的选取就更加深入。然后，分别用回归模型对青岛市服务业产值增长、青岛市服务业就业人数进行实证研究，并定量的得出结论，比较两个实证研究的结果有何相同和不同之处。进而分别确定影响青岛市服务业产值增长和就业的最大影响因素以及最小影响因素，有助于政府采取准确的措施和制定相关政策。
[Abstract]:Just as the rapid development of the service industry in China since the 1990s has led to a continuous decline in the capacity of the service industry to absorb labor, from the 21st century on, the output value of the service industry in Qingdao has been continuously increasing. But its employment growth rate is slowing. At present, the development of service industry in Qingdao is in a critical period, and the research on the growth and employment of service industry in Qingdao has become very meaningful. This paper makes a comprehensive and in-depth study on the service industry in Qingdao from the point of view of the growth and employment of the service industry, in order to explore the factors that can effectively take both of them into account. There are many factors that influence the growth and employment of service industry in Qingdao, and the evaluation model is not uniform. This paper, based on the Solow economic growth model, determines the three major influencing factors: capital, labor and technology. From these three aspects of Qingdao service industry a comprehensive and in-depth study, the capital into domestic capital and foreign capital, the labor force is divided into the quantity and quality of workers. Then the technology is divided into non-embodied technological progress, that is, the total factor productivity and capital reflected in the technological progress. In this way, the selection of variables will be more in-depth. Then, we use regression model to study the growth of service industry output value and the employment of service industry in Qingdao, and get the conclusion quantitatively, and compare the same and different results of the two empirical studies. Furthermore, it is helpful for the government to take accurate measures and formulate relevant policies to determine the biggest and least influential factors that affect the growth and employment of the service industry output value in Qingdao.
【学位授予单位】：青岛理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：

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