基于罗默模型的我国创意产业与经济增长关系研究
发布时间:2019-03-31 18:26
【摘要】:创意产业通常被定义为它的所有产品都在产权法案保护范围下的经济部门总称。创意产业在发达国家和地区已经得到迅速发展,并且其发展规模大小和程度高低已经成为考量这个国家或地区发展水平高低的一个显著指标。根据联合国教科文组织的统计数字,创意产业占有全世界GDP的比重已经达到百分之十一左右,而且全球的创意产业每天创造出大约高达两百多亿美元的产值。在这种背景下,国内诸多经济学者对创意产业进行了相关的学术研究工作。事实上这些研究多数停留在表面,往往只是泛泛的谈一些创意产业的优势及其发展对策等,很少有涉及到关于创意与经济增长关系的基础理论研究。因此建立模型对创意产业展开合乎现代经济学框架的实证性研究也就显得不可或缺了 本论文首先综述内生增长理论和创意经济的研究现状,在此基础上,讨论了一个基于创意假设修正的罗默模型中的各个参数对经济增长路径的影响。接下来本文深入到微观层面,探讨了上述模型背后所隐含的微观经济学含义。最后根据上述理论模型,选取创意的研发支出作为创意存量的代理变量,运用协整理论分析了创意与经济增长之间的关系。实证分析表明,创意的研发支出与经济增长之间有着较强的相关关系,尽管在短期中研究开发投入与经济增长之间是非稳定的,但在长期中它们两者之间却构成了一种长期稳定的均衡关系。然而我国研发投入是构成经济增长的充分非必要条件,即全社会实际研究开发投入是实际GDP增长的原因,但是实际GDP增长并没有构成实际研究开发投入的原因。最后根据研究结果,提出了关于发展创意产业的几点建议。
[Abstract]:Creative industry is usually defined as the economic sector in which all of its products are protected by the title Act. Creative industry has been developed rapidly in developed countries and regions, and its scale and degree of development has become a significant indicator to consider the level of development of this country or region. According to UNESCO statistics, creative industries account for about 11% of the world's GDP, and the world's creative industries generate more than $20 billion a day. Under this background, many domestic economists have carried on relevant academic research work to creative industry. In fact, most of these studies remain on the surface, often only a general talk about the advantages of some creative industries and their development strategies, and so on, few involved in the relationship between creativity and economic growth of the basic theoretical research. Therefore, it is indispensable to establish a model to carry out the empirical study of creative industries in accordance with the framework of modern economics. Firstly, this paper summarizes the research status of endogenous growth theory and creative economy, and on this basis, This paper discusses the influence of various parameters in a modified Romer model based on creative assumptions on the path of economic growth. Next, this paper goes deep into the micro-level, and discusses the implication of microeconomics behind the above-mentioned model. Finally, according to the above-mentioned theoretical model, the creative R & D expenditure is selected as the agent variable of creative stock, and the relationship between creativity and economic growth is analyzed by using co-integration theory. Empirical analysis shows that there is a strong correlation between creative R & D expenditure and economic growth, despite the unstable relationship between R & D investment and economic growth in the short term. But in the long run, they form a long-term stable equilibrium relationship. However, China's R & D investment is a sufficient and non-essential condition for economic growth, that is, the actual research and development investment of the whole society is the cause of the real GDP growth, but the actual GDP growth does not constitute the reason of the actual research and development investment. Finally, according to the results of the study, some suggestions on the development of creative industries are put forward.
【学位授予单位】:哈尔滨理工大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2012
【分类号】:F719;F124.1;F224
本文编号:2451166
[Abstract]:Creative industry is usually defined as the economic sector in which all of its products are protected by the title Act. Creative industry has been developed rapidly in developed countries and regions, and its scale and degree of development has become a significant indicator to consider the level of development of this country or region. According to UNESCO statistics, creative industries account for about 11% of the world's GDP, and the world's creative industries generate more than $20 billion a day. Under this background, many domestic economists have carried on relevant academic research work to creative industry. In fact, most of these studies remain on the surface, often only a general talk about the advantages of some creative industries and their development strategies, and so on, few involved in the relationship between creativity and economic growth of the basic theoretical research. Therefore, it is indispensable to establish a model to carry out the empirical study of creative industries in accordance with the framework of modern economics. Firstly, this paper summarizes the research status of endogenous growth theory and creative economy, and on this basis, This paper discusses the influence of various parameters in a modified Romer model based on creative assumptions on the path of economic growth. Next, this paper goes deep into the micro-level, and discusses the implication of microeconomics behind the above-mentioned model. Finally, according to the above-mentioned theoretical model, the creative R & D expenditure is selected as the agent variable of creative stock, and the relationship between creativity and economic growth is analyzed by using co-integration theory. Empirical analysis shows that there is a strong correlation between creative R & D expenditure and economic growth, despite the unstable relationship between R & D investment and economic growth in the short term. But in the long run, they form a long-term stable equilibrium relationship. However, China's R & D investment is a sufficient and non-essential condition for economic growth, that is, the actual research and development investment of the whole society is the cause of the real GDP growth, but the actual GDP growth does not constitute the reason of the actual research and development investment. Finally, according to the results of the study, some suggestions on the development of creative industries are put forward.
【学位授予单位】:哈尔滨理工大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2012
【分类号】:F719;F124.1;F224
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