宁波燃料电池产业化项目风险管理研究
发布时间:2018-04-03 18:20
本文选题:风险管理 切入点:燃料电池产业化 出处:《浙江工业大学》2014年硕士论文
【摘要】:面对日益加剧的能源安全和环境保护问题,发展高效、清洁的新能源已经成为世界各国争相开展的一项重要工作。燃料电池以其优越的性能,逐渐成为世界新能源技术开发的热点。作为国内燃料电池行业领军的宁波燃料电池产业化项目,历经八年的发展,目前已获得首期项目融资,准备成立股份公司,加速国内燃料电池产业化的进程。但是,作为高新技术产业的燃料电池产业化项目,在国内外鲜有成功的经验可以借鉴,很有必要利用现代项目管理知识,对该项目进行风险管理研究,以使该项目在项目决策、合理布局、科学发展和风险应对等方面做到最优。论文的主要内容包括三个部分。第一部分,在借鉴国内外高新技术产业化风险管理相关理论的基础上,根据宁波燃料电池产业化项目的实际情况,对项目的主要风险因素进行了识别和分析。第二部分,在项目风险识别、分析的基础上,建立了宁波燃料电池产业化项目的风险评价指标体系,并综合运用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法对项目的风险情况进行了系统评价。第三部分,在风险评价之后,对项目的主要风险进行了风险应对研究。论文通过系统的研究,确定了项目的主要风险为技术风险、市场风险、财务风险、管理风险以及政策和环境风险;分析出项目所处的风险等级为较高级,其中财务风险和技术风险是影响项目的主要风险;提出了项目主要风险的应对措施。这些都为宁波燃料电池产业化项目的风险管理提供了有用的参考。
[Abstract]:Facing the increasing problem of energy security and environmental protection, the development of efficient and clean new energy has become an important task in the world.With its superior performance, fuel cell has gradually become a hot spot in the development of new energy technology in the world.After eight years of development, Ningbo fuel cell industrialization project, which is the leader of domestic fuel cell industry, has obtained the first phase of project financing, and is ready to set up a joint-stock company to accelerate the process of domestic fuel cell industrialization.However, as a high-tech industry, the fuel cell industrialization project has few successful experiences at home and abroad. It is necessary to make use of modern project management knowledge to study the risk management of the project in order to make the project decision-making.Rational layout, scientific development and risk management to achieve optimal.The main content of this paper includes three parts.In the first part, based on the theory of risk management of high-tech industrialization at home and abroad, the main risk factors of the project are identified and analyzed according to the actual situation of Ningbo fuel cell industrialization project.In the second part, on the basis of project risk identification and analysis, the risk evaluation index system of Ningbo fuel cell industrialization project is established.The risk of the project is systematically evaluated by AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.The third part, after the risk evaluation, carries on the risk response research to the project main risk.Through systematic research, the paper determines that the main risks of the project are technical risk, market risk, financial risk, management risk and policy and environmental risk.Financial risk and technical risk are the main risks affecting the project.All these provide useful reference for risk management of Ningbo fuel cell industrialization project.
【学位授予单位】:浙江工业大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F272.3;F426.6
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