市场化、人力资本积累与中国经济增长

发布时间：2017-12-26 17:14

本文关键词：市场化、人力资本积累与中国经济增长　出处：《西北师范大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：人口红利与经济增长一直是我国学者关注的热点问题之一。一定程度上可以被用来解释我国改革开放后的经济发展。我国快速的人口转变形成了“未富先老”的特征,面临着第一次人口红利过早消失,第二次人口红利开发困难的问题。第一次人口红利实质上只是在一定时期内较多的依靠劳动生产要素的投入促进经济增长。至于第二次人口红利,更重要的在于经济可持续增长源泉的开发,即通过人力资本积累和制度变革,实现后人口红利发展阶段全要素生产率的改善。在当前的知识经济时代,越来越多的学者将人力资本纳入经济增长模型中,使我国在改革开放后取得的持续经济增长得到了更加合理的解释。但是在纳入人力资本的经济增长模型中并没有引入当前我国当前的市场化改革制度变迁因素。本文以纳入人力资本的扩展索洛模型为基础,以人力资本积累为核心,引入市场化进程,将市场化的效应纳入经济增长模型,指出中国的经济增长有赖于市场化和人力资本积累,增长的驱动力来自劳动者对新技术的掌握,也来自市场化引起存量物质资本和人力资本效率的提高,并建立经济增长模型,得出稳态的均衡解。继而以理论模型为基础,构建实证计量模型,采用完全修正的最小二乘法(FMOLS)和面板分位数回归法进行经验分析。最后给出我国今后在进一步市场化改革、人力资本等方面的对策建议。
[Abstract]:The demographic dividend and economic growth have always been one of the hot issues that Chinese scholars have paid attention to. To a certain extent, it can be used to explain the economic development of China after the reform and opening up. China's rapid demographic transition has formed the characteristics of "not getting rich before the old age", facing the problem of the first demographic dividend, and the difficulty of the second demographic dividend development. The first demographic dividend is essentially an increase in economic growth depending on the input of the factors of labor production in a certain period of time. As for the second demographic dividend, what's more important is the development of the source of sustainable economic growth. That is to achieve the improvement of total factor productivity in the development stage of demographic dividend through the accumulation of human capital and institutional change. In the current era of knowledge economy, more and more scholars bring human capital into the economic growth model, which makes our country's sustained economic growth after the reform and opening up more reasonable. But in the economic growth model which is incorporated into the human capital, the current factors of the current reform of the market reform system in China are not introduced. In this paper, into the extended Solow model of human capital based on the accumulation of human capital as the core, the introduction of the process of marketization, the effect of the market into economic growth model, China pointed out that economic growth depends on the market and the accumulation of human capital, the driving force of growth from laborers to the new technology, but also from the market by the stock of physical capital and human capital efficiency, and establish the model of economic growth, the steady state equilibrium. Then, based on the theoretical model, an empirical measurement model is constructed, and the empirical analysis is carried out by the method of FMOLS and panel quantile regression. Finally, we give some suggestions on further market-oriented reform and human capital in the future.
【学位授予单位】：西北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F249.2;F124.1

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