统计模型应用的学术规范研究

发布时间：2017-12-26 23:29

本文关键词：统计模型应用的学术规范研究　出处：《统计与信息论坛》2016年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在中国社会科学领域研究中,统计模型泛化过程中的误用、滥用现象日益严重,模型应用中的种种失范行为违背了学术精神。统计模型应遵守的学术规范包括:模型的建立和调整要有理论依据,合理的模型是主观与客观的统一;实证分析中应重视数据质量以免错用滥用统计数据,建模中要避免命题不可证伪,陷入"数字游戏"误区等。通过学术规范彰显的学术精神应体现在对模型方法做出有价值有意义的创新或是根据模型结果论证新的命题。当前,中国应制定有关统计学的学术规范,并完善期刊的审稿制度来解决统计模型的学术失范问题。
[Abstract]:In the field of Chinese social science research, the misuse and abuse phenomenon in the process of generalization of statistical models is becoming more and more serious. The anomie behavior in model application is contrary to academic spirit. The academic standard shall comply with the statistical model including: the establishment and adjustment of the model to the theoretical basis, reasonable model is the unify of subjective and objective; should pay attention to the quality of data in order to avoid misuse misuse of statistical data in the empirical analysis, modeling to avoid the proposition is not falsifiable, in the "Digital Games" misunderstanding. The academic spirit highlighted through academic norms should be embodied in a valuable and meaningful innovation to the model method or a new proposition based on the results of the model. At present, China should formulate academic standards on statistics and improve the system of manuscript review to solve the problem of academic anomie of statistical models.
【作者单位】：国家统计局国际统计信息中心;中国人民大学统计学院;
【基金】：国家自然基金项目《金融资产配置中面板数据动态因子模型研究》(71271210)
【分类号】：F224
【正文快照】： 一、引言近年来,统计模型在中国社会科学领域的应用日益广泛,在研究事物的数量特征方面,它无疑是一种有用的工具,但在模型泛化过程中也出现了大量误用、滥用现象,受到学术界种种质疑和批评,例如在研究中牵强使用模型、用模型点缀论文、将简单问题复杂化等[1]。这些现象呈现的

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