能源价格对碳排放强度的影响研究——基于独立变量与交叉变量影响的分析

发布时间：2017-12-27 00:01

本文关键词：能源价格对碳排放强度的影响研究——基于独立变量与交叉变量影响的分析　出处：《价格理论与实践》2016年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：我国能源价格形成机制正处于改革的深化时期,能源价格变动与能源消费碳排放密切相关。从能源价格角度探讨碳排放强度问题,有利于准确判断和把握碳强度变化规律,有效制定促进节能减排的能源价格政策。本文通过协整检验和构建误差修正模型分析了能源价格作为独立变量对碳强度的影响,发现碳强度的能源价格弹性为-0.4229,并且短期内能源价格变动对碳强度的作用比较微弱。此外,本文借助于岭回归方法发现:能源价格作为调节项进入模型后,通过作用于人均GDP对碳强度发挥影响,而作用于产业结构和能源结构的路径存在阻滞。因此,研究结果认为能源价格可以作为独立变量和交叉变量对碳强度发挥作用。最后,本文提出了我国降低碳排放强度的能源价格的相关政策建议,以期通过能源价格的改革促进节能减排。
[Abstract]:The formation mechanism of energy price in China is in the deepening period of the reform, and the change of energy price is closely related to the carbon emission of energy consumption. From the perspective of energy price, the discussion of carbon emission intensity is conducive to accurately judging and grasping the law of carbon intensity change, and effectively formulating energy price policy to promote energy saving and emission reduction. In this paper, co integration test and error correction model are used to analyze the impact of energy price as independent variable on carbon intensity. It is found that the energy price elasticity of carbon intensity is -0.4229, and the effect of energy price change on carbon intensity is relatively weak in the short term. In addition, by means of ridge regression method, we find that energy price as a regulatory entry enters the model and has an impact on the carbon intensity by acting on the per capita GDP, while the path of industrial structure and energy structure is blocked. Therefore, the results suggest that energy prices can be used as independent variables and cross variables to play a role in carbon intensity. Finally, this paper puts forward the relevant policy suggestions on reducing the energy price of carbon emission intensity in order to promote energy saving and emission reduction through the reform of energy price.
【作者单位】：中国矿业大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71573254) 江苏省“青蓝工程”中青年学术带头人人才项目(2014年) 江苏教育科学重点项目(B-b/2015/01/027) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资(2015XKMS091)资助
【分类号】：X24;F764;F224
【正文快照】： 为应对气候变化和履行国际责任,我国“十三五”规划对碳排放总量与强度进行同步控制,其中碳强度目标比2015年下降18%,并且规划期间各项发展指标的制定也以此为前提条件。2016年4月,我国正式签署协议加入《巴黎协定》。在《巴黎协定》中,我国政府承诺将在2030年左右碳排放达到

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