中国房价波动影响居民收入差距的时空差异分析

发布时间：2018-01-12 04:01

本文关键词：中国房价波动影响居民收入差距的时空差异分析　出处：《统计与决策》2016年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章系统分析了房价波动对于中国居民收入差距影响的时空差异。研究发现:动态来看,房价上升会在短期内恶化居民收入差距,但是在中长期内的影响则取决于流动性约束效应和信心效应两种力量的对比。当一个地区的城镇化水平低于门限值时,外来人口所占比重较小,住房的刚性需求不大,此时房价上涨所带来的就业机会和收入的增加会大于房价上涨的幅度,信心效应的力量大于流动性约束效应的力量,因此房价上涨会改善居民收入差距;但是当一个地区的城镇化水平高于门限值时,外来人口所占比重增加,住房的刚性需求较大,此时房价上涨的幅度会大于由于信心效应所带来的就业和收入的上涨幅度,从而导致房价的上涨在中长期内继续恶化居民的收入差距。
[Abstract]:This paper systematically analyzes the temporal and spatial differences of the impact of house price fluctuations on the income gap of Chinese residents. The study finds that: dynamically, the rise of house prices will worsen the income gap in the short term. But in the medium and long term, the influence depends on the contrast of liquidity constraint effect and confidence effect. When the urbanization level of a region is lower than the threshold, the proportion of foreign population is small. The rigid demand for housing is not large. At this time, the increase of employment opportunities and income will be greater than the increase of house price, and the strength of confidence effect is greater than that of liquidity constraint effect. Therefore, rising house prices will improve the income gap of residents; However, when the urbanization level of a region is higher than the threshold, the proportion of the foreign population increases, and the rigid demand for housing is greater. At this time, the rise of house price will be greater than the increase of employment and income caused by confidence effect, which will cause the rise of house price to continue to worsen the income gap of residents in the medium and long term.
【作者单位】：对外经济贸易大学中国WTO研究院;
【分类号】：F299.23;F124.7
【正文快照】： 1问题的提出房地产的财富效应一直以来都是学术界关注的焦点问题,房地产迅速发展所带来的房价高涨会使有房者的财富绝对增加,无房者的收入相对减少,从而拉大居民之间的收入差距,因此严控房价,增加保障性住房供给就成为中央政府治理贫富差距、实现和谐发展的重要手段。但房地产

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