我国城镇化进程对零售业发展影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-29 03:15

本文关键词： 城镇化零售业实证研究　出处：《南京财经大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：城镇化是经济发展到一定阶段的必然产物,也是一个地区经济发展程度的衡量标准之一。目前,我国城镇化正处于快速发展的关键时期,诺贝尔奖得主斯蒂格里兹曾指出中国的城镇化是影响当今世界的两件事之一,将有助于推动中国的经济乃至世界经济的发展。零售业是国民经济的先导产业和基础产业,并且已经成为促进我国经济发展的关键产业。零售业是生产与消费的中介,是国民经济各部门的桥梁与纽带。城镇化与零售业的发展都会影响中国的经济发展,决定人们的生活质量好坏,而城镇作为零售业态发展的载体,又与零售业的发展息息相关。所以对城镇化与零售业的关系研究具有特别的意义。城镇化建设一直是我国的大事之一,十八大以来,更是被推至前所未有的高度,国家总理李克强提出：城镇化是最大的内需潜力所在,是经济结构调整的重要依靠,城镇化既是经济政策的重点,也是未来中国经济增长的动力。而对于零售业的发展,随着市场经济的繁荣以及中国加入WTO,特别是为应对金融危机对经济的冲击,我国采取了一系列扩大内需,增加消费的政策,推动了零售业的进步,该行业对国民经济的贡献率也逐步上升。城镇化对于零售业的发展即是机遇又是挑战,因此研究二者的关系,如何把握城镇化这一契机从而促使零售业得到快速提升,成为关键的问题。第一章为导论,介绍了城镇化与零售业的研究背景、选题意义以及国内和国外的研究现状。第二章的内容为文章的理论基础。第三章描述了我国城镇化与零售业的发展现状,以及二者之间的相关关联。第四章是实证分析。本章分为两部分：第一部分是利用主成分分析法得出描述零售业发展的一个综合指标；第二部分是搜集相关数据,并选取零售业与城镇化的有关指标,利用面板数据进行多元回归分析,并对回归结果进行分析。第五章是结论及政策建议。根据实证分析的结果得出本文的结论,我国的人口城镇化、生活方式的城镇化、土地城镇化和城镇基础设施的建设都能有效的促进零售业的发展,但东中西部地区促进作用不同。根据结论提出有效的政策建议：关注农村转移人口的生活,实现农民工市民化；加强和完善各级城镇基础设施建设；合理引导,鼓励区域均衡发展；抓住发展机遇,实现零售产业现代化发展。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is the inevitable outcome of economic development to a certain stage, and it is also one of the measures of the degree of regional economic development. At present, urbanization in China is in a critical period of rapid development. Nobel laureate Stiglitz has pointed out that China's urbanization is one of two things that affect the world today. It will help to promote the development of China's economy and even the world economy. Retailing is the leading industry and basic industry of the national economy. Retailing is the intermediary of production and consumption, the bridge and link of all sectors of the national economy. The development of urbanization and retailing will affect the economic development of China. Determine the quality of life of people, and towns as the carrier of retail development. Therefore, the research on the relationship between urbanization and retailing is of special significance. Urbanization construction has been one of the major events in China since 18. Even more pushed to an unprecedented height, Premier Li Keqiang proposed: urbanization is the largest potential of domestic demand, is an important basis for economic restructuring, urbanization is the focus of economic policy. It will also be the driving force of China's economic growth in the future. But for the development of retail trade, with the prosperity of market economy and China's entry into WTO, especially in response to the impact of the financial crisis on the economy. China has adopted a series of policies to expand domestic demand and increase consumption, which has promoted the progress of retail industry, and the contribution rate of this industry to the national economy has gradually increased. Urbanization is both an opportunity and a challenge to the development of retail industry. Therefore, the study of the relationship between the two, how to grasp the opportunity of urbanization in order to promote the rapid promotion of retail industry, become a key issue. Chapter one is the introduction, introduced the research background of urbanization and retailing. The second chapter is the theoretical basis of the article. The third chapter describes the development of urbanization and retail industry in China. Chapter 4th is an empirical analysis. This chapter is divided into two parts: the first part is the use of principal component analysis to obtain a comprehensive index to describe the development of retail industry; The second part is to collect relevant data, and select the retail industry and urbanization indicators, using panel data to carry out multivariate regression analysis. And the regression results are analyzed. 5th chapter is the conclusions and policy recommendations. According to the results of empirical analysis, the conclusion of this paper is that the urbanization of population and the urbanization of life style in China. Land urbanization and the construction of urban infrastructure can effectively promote the development of retail industry, but the promotion role of the central, western and eastern regions is different. According to the conclusion, the effective policy recommendations: pay attention to the life of rural migrant population. Realizing the urbanization of migrant workers; Strengthening and perfecting the infrastructure construction of cities and towns at all levels; Reasonable guidance to encourage regional balanced development; Seize development opportunity, realize retail industry modernization development.
【学位授予单位】：南京财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F299.21;F724

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