基于生存分析的创新型城市建设影响要素研究

发布时间：2018-02-16 02:35

本文关键词： 创新型城市生存分析 Cox模型　出处：《燕山大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：创新型城市是指以技术、知识、人才、环境、文化和体制等创新要素为依托,加速现代化发展的城市,对周边区域城市有辐射和引领作用,是区域一体化进程发展的核心。创新型城市是继创新型国家和创新型区域两个发展模式提出之后,更加细化的发展模式。城市作为独立个体既是企业经济发展的承载体,同时也是国家创新系统的组成部分,其发展不仅影响着企业的经济效益,而且决定着一个国家在国际舞台竞争中的地位和实力。但是由于各个城市的创新资源状况不同,致使城市之间的创新水平差异较大。本文进一步研究创新型城市建设过程中的创新要素,对促进整个区域或国家创新健康发展具有重大指导意义。本论文的研究内容主要从以下三个方面介绍:首先,创新型城市以科技创新为动力,是一种健康且持续性的城市发展模式,因此成为各级地方政府和学术界研究的焦点。本文综合分析城市创新问题的国内外研究现状,发掘研究的不足之处,并以城市创新和生存分析的相关理论为指导,从客观与科学角度出发研究创新型城市的发展。其次,本文综合分析了创新型城市的形成及基本特征,并对其发展过程中的相关创新要素进行详细的描述和分析,从地理区位、创新投入、创新配置、创新支撑、创新产出等几个方面构建创新型城市发展的指标要素体系,并采用生存分析理论构建Cox比例回归模型,对发展要素进行全面综合分析,最终得到影响创新型城市发展的关键因素。最后,将模型运行结果进行综合分析,借鉴创新能力较强的城市在创新过程中的发展模式,找准影响创新型城市建设的关键要素,因地制宜制定各个城市的创新发展规划,为各级地方政府制定相关发展规划提供依据,并对未来创新型城市发展模式提出建议。
[Abstract]:An innovative city refers to a city that accelerates the development of modernization on the basis of innovative elements such as technology, knowledge, talent, environment, culture and system, and has a radiating and leading role in surrounding regional cities. It is the core of the development of regional integration process. The innovative city is a more detailed development model after the two development models of innovative country and innovative region. As an independent individual, the city is the carrier of the economic development of the enterprise. It is also an integral part of the national innovation system. Its development not only affects the economic benefits of enterprises, but also determines the position and strength of a country in the competition on the international stage. This paper further studies the innovation elements in the process of innovative city construction. It is of great significance to promote the healthy development of innovation in the whole region or country. The research contents of this paper are mainly introduced in the following three aspects: first, innovative cities are driven by scientific and technological innovation. Is a healthy and sustainable urban development model, so it has become the focus of local government and academic research at all levels. This paper comprehensively analyzes the domestic and foreign research status of urban innovation, and explores the shortcomings of the research. Under the guidance of relevant theories of urban innovation and survival analysis, this paper studies the development of innovative cities from the perspective of objectivity and science. Secondly, this paper comprehensively analyzes the formation and basic characteristics of innovative cities. And the relevant innovation elements in the process of its development are described and analyzed in detail, from the geographical location, innovation input, innovation allocation, innovation support, innovation output and other aspects of the index elements system of innovative city development. The survival analysis theory is used to construct the Cox proportional regression model, and the comprehensive analysis of the development elements is carried out, and the key factors affecting the development of innovative cities are obtained. Finally, the results of the operation of the model are analyzed synthetically. Draw lessons from the development mode of the city with strong innovation ability in the process of innovation, find out the key factors that affect the construction of the innovative city, and formulate the innovative development plan of each city according to the local conditions. It provides the basis for local governments at all levels to formulate relevant development plans, and puts forward suggestions for the future innovative urban development model.
【学位授予单位】：燕山大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F299.2

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