金融发展与城乡收入差距动态关系的实证检验

发布时间：2018-02-23 23:17

本文关键词： 金融发展城乡收入差距非参数估计弹性区域差异　出处：《统计与决策》2016年14期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章利用我国东、中、西部地区1992—2012年省际数据,基于非参数局部多项式回归拟合了三大地区金融发展与城乡收入差距的曲线,并对曲线的拟合效果、单调性、凹凸性及动态变化特征进行详细阐述。依据实证结果得到结论:首先,区域间金融发展规模与收入差距的拟合曲线存在显著差异;其次,从曲线走势看,金融发展规模与城乡收入差距不是呈严格稳定的正相关、负相关或倒U型关系,而是随外部条件及金融发展结构、效率的改变呈阶段性变化;最后,从动态特征看,区域金融发展对收入分配的作用强弱与金融抑制或金融深化的进程有关。
[Abstract]:The use of China's eastern, western region, 1992 to 2012 the provincial data, nonparametric local polynomial regression of the three major areas of financial development and the urban-rural income gap based on the curve, and the curve fitting effect, monotonicity, characteristic and dynamic change of convex detailed described. According to the empirical results and get the conclusion: first, there are significant differences between regions fitting curves of the scale of financial development and income gap; secondly, from the curve trend, the scale of financial development and income gap between urban and rural areas is not a strictly stable positive correlation, negative correlation or inverted U relationship, but with the external conditions and the structure of financial development and efficiency changes in phase change; finally and from the dynamic characteristics, regional financial development on the role of income distribution and financial strength or inhibit the process of financial deepening.

【作者单位】：中国海洋大学经济学院;国家海洋信息中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71373247) 中国海洋发展研究中心青年项目(AOCQN2013) 国家海洋信息中心项目(B201303009;B201303011) 江苏省海洋经济发展评估方法及模型库建设与江苏省海洋经济预测预警方法及模型库建设(SJC2014110338) 山东省海洋生态服务非市场价值评估及效益转移研究(BS2015HZ006)
【分类号】：F224.9;F832;F124.7

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