中国城市群城市低碳竞争力仿真评价

发布时间：2018-03-07 03:35

本文选题：低碳竞争力　切入点：系统动力学建模　出处：《科技管理研究》2016年13期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：城市低碳竞争力的高低是低碳城市建设成果的直接反映,同时低碳城市建设的推进需要提前找到城市低碳竞争力在发展过程中可能存在的问题。建立城市低碳竞争力评价指标体系,并借助系统动力学建模对武汉城市圈、珠三角等4个城市群2007到2016年间的低碳竞争力进行仿真预测分析。研究结果显示,中国城市群城市低碳竞争力整体排名变化比较大,武汉城市圈和京津唐城市群的竞争力随时间变化呈现平稳的变化趋势,而珠三角和呼包鄂城市群分别呈上升和下降趋势。最后,针对结果分析,从政府、企业和居民3个层面提出提升城市低碳竞争力的相关建议。
[Abstract]:The low carbon competitiveness of the city is a direct reflection of the achievements of the construction of the low-carbon city. At the same time, to promote the construction of low-carbon cities, we need to find out the possible problems in the development process of low-carbon cities ahead of time. The evaluation index system of low-carbon competitiveness of cities is established, and the Wuhan city circle is modeled with the help of system dynamics. The low carbon competitiveness of four urban agglomerations, such as the Pearl River Delta, was simulated and forecasted between 2007 and 2016. The results show that the overall ranking of low carbon competitiveness of Chinese urban agglomeration cities has changed greatly. The competitiveness of Wuhan urban circle and Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan urban agglomeration shows a steady changing trend over time, while the Pearl River Delta and Hubao and Hubei urban agglomeration show an upward and downward trend respectively. Enterprises and residents of the three levels proposed to enhance the city's low-carbon competitiveness related recommendations.
【作者单位】：中国地质大学(武汉);中国地质大学数字化商务管理研究中心;中国地质大学中国矿产资源战略与政策研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“石油储层识别中软计算与硬计算融合的理论与方法研究”(71103163) 教育部“新世纪优秀人才支持计划”项目“城市综合承灾能力测算”(NCET-13-1012);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“中国城市集群竞争力的动态测度、比较与提升策略研究”(10YJC790071)
【分类号】：F299.2;X321

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