住房价格影响经济增长的机制与路径分析

发布时间：2018-03-28 05:39

本文选题：住房价格　切入点：经济增长　出处：《统计与决策》2016年20期

【摘要】：文章基于省级、地市级和企业微观三个层面的数据系统分析了房价上涨对于经济增长影响的机制和路径。研究发现,房价上涨会通过成本机制对经济增长产生负面影响,但是由于工资粘性和企业的策略性行为使得这种负面影响具有较大的滞后性。住房价格对经济增长的影响路径呈现倒U型的显著特征,这种特征的出现使得当住房价格上涨到一定幅度时,新的刺激房市政策会被住房价格对增长的负面影响所抵消而难以发挥有效作用。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of provincial level, prefectural level and enterprise level, this paper analyzes the mechanism and path of the impact of house price rise on economic growth, and finds that the rise of house price will have a negative impact on economic growth through the cost mechanism. However, due to wage stickiness and the strategic behavior of enterprises, this negative impact has a large lag. The impact path of housing prices on economic growth shows the obvious characteristics of inverted U-shape. The emergence of this feature makes it difficult to play an effective role when housing prices rise to a certain extent, the new stimulus to the housing market will be offset by the negative impact of housing prices on growth.
【作者单位】：天津科技大学应用文理学院;
【基金】：天津科技大学青年教师创新基金资助项目(2014CXYY12)
【分类号】：F299.23;F124.1

【相似文献】